In the End, Everyone Hated the Iranian Theocracy

Victor Davis Hanson
American Greatness

It is hard even to digest the incredible train of events of the last few days in the Middle East.

Iran had been reduced to an anemic, performance-art missile attack on our base in Qatar—the last Parthian shot from a terrified regime, desperate for an out—and a ceasefire.

Iran would have been better off not launching such a ceremonial but ultimately humiliating proof of impotence.

Even worse for the theocracy, Iran’s temporary reprieve came from the now magnanimous but still hated Donald Trump.

So ends the creepy mystique of the supposedly indomitable terror state of Iran, the bane of the last seven American presidents over half a century.

For Supreme Leader Khamenei, it was hard to swallow that U.S. bombers got their permission to fly into Iranian airspace from the Israeli air force.

A good simile is that Trump put a pot of water on the stove, told Iran to jump in, put the lid over them, then smiled, turned up the heat—and will now let them stew.

As postbellum realities now simmer in Iran, the theocracy is left explaining the inexplicable to its humiliated military and shocked but soon-to-be-furious populace. All the regime’s blood-curdling rhetoric, apocalyptic threats against Israel, goose-stepping thugs, and shiny new missiles ended in less than nothing.

A trillion dollars and five decades’ worth of missiles and centrifuges are now up in smoke. That money might have otherwise saved Iranians from the impoverishment of the last fifty years.

How about the little Satan Israel, to which Iran for nearly 50 years promised extinction?

Israel had destroyed Iran’s expeditionary terrorists, Iran’s defenses, its nuclear viability, and the absurd mythology of Iranian military competence. And worse, Israel showed it could repeat all that destruction when and if it is necessary.

So, the most hated regime in the world crawled into the boiling pot because it looked around in vain for someone to void Trump’s ultimatum for a cease and desist.

But there were no last-minute saviors to rescue them.

The dreaded decades-long Iranian nuclear threat?

It is either gone for now, or if it resurfaces, it will be again far easier to vaporize at will than to rebuild a lost trillion-dollar investment.

Russia? Its former Obama-Kerry re-invitation back into the Middle East lasted only a decade.

It will now cut its losses like it did with the vanished Assad kleptocracy in Syria. Putin exits the Middle East not entirely displeased that his lunatic Iranian client did not get a bomb—but did get its just desserts. A tense Middle East tends to prop up Russian export oil prices.

Did China come to the mullahs’ aid?

No, they were not shy about ordering their Iranian lackey to keep the Strait of Hormuz open, through which 50 percent of Chinese-purchased oil passes.

For President Xi, the Iranians are treated as little more than Uyghurs with oil.

The world decided that it was tired of a half-century of crybully terrorism, empty nuke threats, mindless mobs screaming scripted banalities, cowardly murdering, and medieval theocrats threatening the general peace.

So, the world turned its back on Iran. And with a wink and nod, it let Israel and the U.S. do what they must.

As for Iran’s terrorist appendages, Hezbollah’s commanders are either dead, maimed, or in hiding.

Hamas has fled into a subterranean labyrinth.

The last Assad thug fled to Russia.

The crazy Houthis? They are reconsidering the idea of launching their last missile at the cost of their last port or power grid.

The anti-Trump Democrats and loony left?

Their talk of impeaching Trump for the supposedly “illegal” 35-minute, one-off strike will fade.

The Trump mission equaled less than one day of Obama’s predator drone strikes, targeted killings, or his five-year chaotic bombing in Libya.

Is the incoherent left furious that there is no more Iranian nuclear threat?

Mad that no Americans were killed last Saturday night?

Furious America likely killed few if any Iranians.

Or is it raging because Trump ignored Iran’s last-gasp attack and instead orchestrated a cease-fire?

Of course, in the Middle East, there is never a real end to anything.

We may see freelancing terrorists try to fill the vacuum of Iran’s decline. Or Iran itself may try to let loose a terrorist cell. It may later boast it has hidden away some enriched uranium.

But no matter.

The dimensions of this new Middle East will persist.

The new reality is that either Israel or the U.S.—if they keep their earned confidence within proper limits—can now ensure a non-nuclear Iran by easily blowing up its costly nuclear program as often as it is rebuilt.

 

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5 thoughts on “In the End, Everyone Hated the Iranian Theocracy”

  1. David Kentsmith,
    Please re-read my comment! My “snarky and condescending” reference was about the lefties, NOT VDH! An apology from you in the comments section would be appreciated.

  2. David Kentsmith

    Professor Hanson: Amazing how an extraordinary and brilliant President like Trump quite simply ended the death cult regime of a lunatic radial Muslim extremist after multiple American Presidential administrations could not. How many of our soldiers have we lost to this Armageddon seeking group of lunatics? Israel has always been there to work with us and we have had the weapons systems to achieve the goal. What is it however about America’s so called intellectual class that has been so unable to get to a solution (no nuclear bombs) and implement it? These are people who have had wise and thoughtful voices like yours trying to offer insight but ignored the logical solutions. With the absurd Obama strategy of a fully nuclear Iran to balance the mid-east and restrain Israel! And then the outrage and anger seen in the above weird comment by Rath about you being “snarky and condescending”. The level of dishonesty and illogical rage against a very wise and clear thinking person like you is disappointing for our future and our ongoing need to work together to insure a bright future. Trump has surely revealed the many points of breakdown of our constitutional republic from Congress failing to do its job to the corrupt swamp of a bureaucracy that had become a 4th branch of our government. He has set us on a good road to recovery if we can get our political factions to work together.

  3. Strategic Viewpoint

    It was not so much that everyone hated Iran more that Iran had limited usefulness to China and Russia as a source of drones and oil. Apart from three mysterious Chinese Boeing 747 transports that may or may not have been carrying military supplies into Iran or fissile material out of Iran, support from Russia and China has been negligible. The peace dividend will be less Iranian refugees into Europe and the US. Hopefully the Iranian government uses their time wisely to rebuild their country and integrate into the global system beyond BRICS instead of developing a nuclear weapons program that they are never going to be allowed to keep.

  4. Professor Hanson,

    I appreciate your insight and how you respectfully share it. Could you touch on a few areas I’m struggling with in my understanding?

    1. Why did Iran allow October 7th to go forward when they are close to completing a nuclear warhead?

    2. Regarding the Iranian people’s lack of support for the Iranian leadership. How widespread is this, and how much confidence can Americans have in this assessment?

    3. About NR Andy McCarthy’s June 22nd Opinion piece, “What about Iran’s Bushehr Nuclear Reactor?”.
    Will Israel depend on IAEA inspections to deal with the Bushehr Reactor?

    4. Regarding the argument of WMD in Iraq and intelligence. At the time, do you recall any conflicting intelligence on WMDs in Iraq?

    Thanks for your insight.

  5. Excellent assessment, VDH. We are literally watching history made right before our eyes. I’m hoping that Abraham Accords 2.0 is achieved in the near future and the Middle East begins to function peacefully.
    As for the lefties, and all the previous stupid decision makers of past administrations, your snarky, condescending criticisms these days ring quite hollow. You reveal just who you are.

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