Contrary to the principles of American foreign policy of the last 70 years, President Barack Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry tacitly invited Russia to “help” monitor things in the Middle East. Now they are learning that there are lots of Middle East scenarios far worse than the relatively quiet Iraq that the Obama administration inherited in January 2009 — and soon abandoned.
Russian president Vladimir Putin liked the American invitation so much that he now has decided to move in permanently. Marshal Putin now wants the West to join his new Syria-Iran-Hezbollah-Iraq axis against the Islamic State — or to at least sit back and allow Russia to straighten out the Middle East as it sees fit.
To fight the Islamic State, Putin has called for something similar to the “anti-Hitler coalition” of World War II that saw the Soviet Union and the West unite to defeat Nazi Germany.
Certainly, the Islamic State, like Nazi Germany, is a savage regime. So far, it has grown unchecked at the very center of the Middle East. Yet under the cloak of fighting the Islamic State, Putin has two greater visions.
One, he is intervening to save his client in Syria, strongman Bashar al-Assad – and with him a new Middle East Shiite axis of Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Russia. Putin says he wishes to destroy the terrorists of the Islamic State. But for now he is bombing moderate opponents of Assad and bolstering the anti-Western terrorists of Hezbollah and perhaps Hamas as well.
Two, Putin is sending a warning to the oil-exporting Sunni monarchies of the Persian Gulf, who are as rich as they are militarily weak: Russia, not the United States, is the new cop on the Middle Eastern beat.
If oil-rich and nuclear Russia and a soon-to-be-nuclear Iran can bully the Sunni monarchies, Putin’s new cartel may control the spigot of some 75 percent of the world’s daily export of oil.
Putin’s recall of history is as fishy as his current proposed coalition. Since he has invoked the “anti-Hitler” alliance of World War II, we would all do well to remember the circumstances that led to the totalitarian Soviet Union of Josef Stalin joining with democracies to defeat Hitler.
Stalin, remember, was originally a de facto ally of Adolf Hitler. Stalin signed a nonaggression pact with Nazi Germany on August 23, 1939. That devil’s agreement green-lighted the start of World War II just over a week later.
Germany invaded neutral Poland on September 1, 1939. It was joined soon after by Russian troops attacking from the east. With a now-friendly Russia at his rear, Hitler was then free to turn westward against the European democracies.
Russia still seems embarrassed by its 1939 sellout. Marshal Stalin would supply the Third Reich for 22 months with key resources that helped Hitler to attack Belgium, Denmark, France, Great Britain, Greece, Holland, Luxembourg, Norway, and Yugoslavia.
There is no reason to believe the Soviet Union would ever have flipped to join Great Britain against Nazi Germany had Hitler not double-crossed Stalin and invaded the Soviet Union on June 22, 1941. After all, Stalin’s Communist regime had liquidated more than 15 million of its own citizens during 1920s and 1930s, and was a kindred genocidal state to Hitler’s National Socialist Third Reich.
That embarrassing deal with Hitler still haunts Russia. Poland has complained bitterly about absurd statements made by a Russian ambassador who recently claimed that Poland was partly to blame for the outbreak of WWII because it blocked the formation of a coalition against Germany.
Russia’s dalliance with Hitler proved nearly suicidal. Russia lost nearly 30 million soldiers and civilians on the Eastern Front during its four-year struggle against its onetime Nazi partner.
True, the Red Army was responsible for more than two-thirds of the German casualties in WWII and helped to wreck the Wehrmacht. Yet cynical and opportunistic Russia at one time or another cut some sort of friendship deal with every major combatant on both sides of WWII: America, Britain, Germany, Italy, and Japan.
Ironically, Stalin kept his word to the Axis alliance of Germany, Italy, and Japan far better than he later did to the Allied partners, Britain and the United States, who helped save him. The Western allies provided nearly 20 percent of all Russian wartime resources. Without key Anglo-American resources such as aluminum and heavy transport trucks, Russia might well have been knocked out by Hitler. Yet after the war, Stalin renounced all his prior commitments to hold free and fair elections in those countries liberated from Nazism by the Red Army.
Putin’s sloppy historical perspective on World War II is a window into his soul. And we should be as distrustful of him as our disillusioned forefathers finally were of Stalin’s Soviet Union.
The way to end the murderous rampage of a savage, radical Islamic State is not by joining a Russian-Iranian cartel propping up Shiite terrorists and lapdog dictatorships in the Middle East as it seeks to strong-arm moderate Sunni states and oil-exporting monarchies.
© 2015 Tribune Media Services, Inc.
Assad cannot be decisively beaten and continuing to fight him just generates a muslim refugee invasion of Europe. We need to come to a deal with Assad, let him reassert control with the promise to end the refugee flow. Sunnis or Shiites, it doesn’t matter. Both have killed Christians and Jews. And oil from the mideast is not as important as it was historically. There are huge reserves all around the world, even in America, and any oil shock will be short-lived.
Putin is the only one who’s got it right this time. The danger for the West in not following his lead, is that the Eastern Europe countries–trying to save themselves from an EU-mandated muslim invasion–can fall back into the grips of the Russian bear.
“The current top five net oil exporters— Saudi Arabia, Russia, Norway, Iran and the UAE–account for about half of world net oil exports.”—— “Oil shale is the retirement party”. Enabled by America’s shrinking umbrella, Europe’s entitled are on course to rediscover powers which resent their entitlement. “Mama Merkel” mentality is slow decay. Fraulein’s, make a beeline straight to America’s waiting arms.
It’s not good to dwell on hypotheticals but, the USSR did the lions share of fighting in the Second World War. While allied aid was extremely vital, it did not play a major role until 1943. The USSR won the crucial battles of 1941-1942 to a large degree alone.
This is why Mr. Hanson cannot be taken seriously. He warns against an alliance with Putin to fight ISIS, but in his interview with Christopher Hitchens here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6F13PqNlP7c falls all over himself to justify our alliance with “Uncle Joe”. Cognitive disobedience anyone? There is one word for such a person, fraud. Unlike Hanson who seems to love Stalin, I’d turn it around and leave “Uncle Joe” high and dry and take Putin’s offer.