{"id":9809,"date":"2017-02-06T13:22:26","date_gmt":"2017-02-06T21:22:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/?p=9809"},"modified":"2017-02-14T15:35:54","modified_gmt":"2017-02-14T23:35:54","slug":"things-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/things-to-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"Things to Watch?"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Corner The one and only.
\nBy Victor Davis Hanson\/\/ National Review<\/em><\/p>\n

Trump by intent has ignited the Left. But diverse criteria will determine to what degree it can do him damage:<\/p>\n

1) Will his reforms kick-start the economy? If Trump reaches even 3 percent real GDP growth over a year \u2014 Obama was the first president since Herbert Hoover not to achieve that modest goal \u2014 much of the fury will die down.<\/p>\n

2) Does the news cycle play into Trump\u2019s notion of pulling the country back from the extreme to the center, or repudiate his efforts? So far, daily events, such as violence at the Louvre, the hysteria over the Gorsuch nomination, the latest Iranian missile launch, the Berkeley rioting, the second-look examination of Australia\u2019s quite restrictionist immigration policy in comparison with the U.S., the latest celebrity outburst, etc. seem to amplify Trump\u2019s message of a need for long overdue corrections.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

3) Are Trump\u2019s appointees and Republican congressional leaders on board? So far, they are. And they are, in more judicious fashion, articulating needed change in a good-cop manner to Trump\u2019s bad cop.<\/p>\n

If these trends were to continue, Trump\u2019s popularity in a majority of polls probably would top 50 percent and he would be more likely to win over some centrist Democratic senators on issues than lose moderate Republicans.<\/p>\n

The problems looming for Trump seem twofold: a) Won\u2019t kick-starting the economy and rebuilding defenses continue or balloon unsustainable deficits, at least in the short term (and with the federal government already $20 trillion in aggregate debt), which are always harder for Republicans to justify? And b) The restoration of lost deterrence is always tricky and dangerous, and sometimes requires some show of force with unpredictable results.<\/p>\n

The model is 1983\u201384, when Reagan avoided a war, but restored U.S. credibility while growing the economy at 7 percent plus. Soon all the prior media hysteria over James Watt, Ray Donovan, Al Haig, Don Regan, etc. faded away, and allowed him to later weather Iran-Contra.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Corner The one and only. By Victor Davis Hanson\/\/ National Review Trump by intent has ignited the Left. But diverse criteria will determine to what degree it can do him damage: 1) Will his reforms kick-start the economy? If Trump reaches even 3 percent real GDP growth over a year \u2014 Obama was the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[1092,847,846,1],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-2yd","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12374,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/victor-davis-hanson-on-flynn-case-coronavirus-economy-chinas-culpability-trump-2020-prospects\/","url_meta":{"origin":9809,"position":0},"title":"Victor Davis Hanson: On Flynn Case, Coronavirus Economy, China\u2019s Culpability & Trump 2020 Prospects","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 15, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=UgQcmFyAKjk&list=PLKDm1nJ92oeuDiIQnhhPL4hnxppUmAvyl","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/PLKDm1nJ92oeuDiIQnhhPL4hnxppUmAvyl\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":11541,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-trump-paradox\/","url_meta":{"origin":9809,"position":1},"title":"The Trump Paradox","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 28, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review Today,\u00a0Jim Geraghty writes snidely: VDH writes, \u201cThe hostile reaction to Trump is a sort of proof of his success.\u201d Does it follow, then, that if Trump was widely loved, it would be proof of his failure?\u201d Geraghty creates a false either\/or binary. The hostile\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Donald Trump"","block_context":{"text":"Donald Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/donald-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11316,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-american-art-of-renewal\/","url_meta":{"origin":9809,"position":2},"title":"The American Art of Renewal","author":"victorhanson","date":"August 2, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review \u2018Make America Great Again\u201d is the oft-caricatured slogan of the Donald Trump presidency. When Trump was elected, he boasted of jump-starting the economy to achieve an annual economic growth rate of 4 percent. Experts laughed him off as a na\u00eff who did not understand\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Donald Trump"","block_context":{"text":"Donald Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/donald-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9884,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/9884-2\/","url_meta":{"origin":9809,"position":3},"title":"02\/21\/17 From an Angry Reader:\u2026","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 21, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"02\/21\/17 From an Angry Reader: Victor David Hanson\u2019s latest rant, \u201cObama\u00a0left the president with monstrous mess (2\/17),\u201d is in its unmitigated slam at our\u00a0\u201clast president\u201d\u00a0not the least bit surprising, both in its orientation as well as in its patent bias.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0While it\u2019s a fool\u2019s errand to try to defend much of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Angry Reader"","block_context":{"text":"Angry Reader","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/angry-reader\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9353,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/politics-not-personalities-will-likely-determine-the-presidential-election\/","url_meta":{"origin":9809,"position":4},"title":"Politics, Not Personalities, Will Likely Determine the Presidential Election","author":"victorhanson","date":"June 16, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"The candidates may be unconventional, but their political agendas fall along a conventional divide. By Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review Online At first glance, 2016 sizes up as no other election year in American history. For more than 30 years, both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have been high-profile\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Trump"","block_context":{"text":"Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11368,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/a-post-trump-world\/","url_meta":{"origin":9809,"position":5},"title":"A Post-Trump World","author":"victorhanson","date":"August 28, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review It has been quite a ride since Inauguration Day \u2014 or, rather, from Michael Wolff to Omarosa and Michael Cohen, or from the Emoluments Clause to the 25th Amendment, or from talk of decapitating Trump to talk of blowing up the White House. Yet\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Donald Trump"","block_context":{"text":"Donald Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/donald-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9809"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9809"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9809\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9822,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9809\/revisions\/9822"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9809"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9809"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9809"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}