{"id":4851,"date":"2003-10-10T20:33:24","date_gmt":"2003-10-10T20:33:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=4851"},"modified":"2013-04-08T20:34:20","modified_gmt":"2013-04-08T20:34:20","slug":"legends-of-the-fall","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/legends-of-the-fall\/","title":{"rendered":"Legends of the Fall"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>More myths about the current war.<\/h1>\n<p>by Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<p><em>National Review Online<\/em><\/p>\n<p><b>\u201cT<\/b>he war is against &#8216;terror&#8217;.&#8221; As a number of astute observers have reminded us, terror is a\u00a0<i>method<\/i>, not an enemy. And we are no more in a war against it than we were once fighting the scourge of Zeros or the plague of Soviet MiGs.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Such vague, loose nomenclature is reassuring, of course, in our therapeutic society. It ensures that we are not really angry at any one person or nation, but rather at an abstraction \u2014 as if somewhere there were soldiers with caps embroidered, &#8221; Republic of Terror,&#8221; or crowds chanting &#8220;Up with Terror, Down with the USA,&#8221; or perhaps thuggish leaders in sunglasses and khaki who beat their shoes at the U.N. and warn, &#8220;Terrorism will bury you.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>In fact, those who employ terror of the type that culminated (rather than began) on September 11 are real people with real government backing. They cannot operate without money, havens, and at least passive complicity. Who are they? Aside from the deposed Taliban, al Qaeda, of course; but also Hezbollah and its sponsors in Iran \u2014 as well as Islamofascist groups funded and abetted by Pakistan and Saudi Arabia. After 9\/11, any autocratic country in the Middle East that had recently gone to war with the United States and cumulatively required 350,000 American air sorties, twelve years, $20 billion of policing, and occupation of two-thirds of its airspace to prevent genocide was an enemy, both de facto and \u2014 given Iraq&#8217;s violation of the armistice accords of 1991 \u2014 de jure. That Abu Abbas and Abu Nidal were in Baghdad before the war, and al Qaeda afterward, is the expected calculus of the Hussein regime and its noxious fumes.<\/p>\n<p>While we may be in various stages of bellicosity with differing states, the fact is that after September 11 we will either accept defeat and stay within our borders to fight a defensive war of hosing down fires, bulldozing rubble, arresting terrorist cells, and hoping to appease or buy off our enemies abroad \u2014 or we will eventually have to confront Syria, Lebanon&#8217;s Bekka Valley, Saudi Arabia, and Iran with a clear request to change and come over to civilization, or join the Taliban and Saddam Hussein.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-size: medium;\">STAGGERING COSTS AND CASUALTIES<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Of course, a single dead American soldier is a tragedy, both for the nation and for the aggrieved family. But, by any historical measure, what strikes students of this war so far in its first two years is the amazing degree to which the United States has hurt its enemies without incurring enormous casualties and costs. So far there have been five theaters of conflict: Washington, New York, Pennsylvania, Afghanistan, and Iraq. After suffering about 3,000 dead, $100 billion in direct material damage in Manhattan and D.C., and perhaps another $1 trillion hit to the economy at large in areas as diverse as airline losses, increased security expenditures, and tourist and travel drop-offs, the United States has lost under 400 soldiers in defeating the Taliban and Saddam Hussein, and probably spent roughly $100 billion in direct military expenditures, with another $100 billion in slated reconstruction costs.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of American military history, this is a staggering paradox. Usually the initial attacks that have prompted past American wars were relatively mild, while the subsequent reaction was costly \u2014 in the manner that Fort Sumter paled in comparison with Shiloh, or Tonkin was not Hue, or Pearl Harbor was nothing like Iwo Jima. But 9\/11\u00a0<i>itself<\/i>\u00a0was much more deadly than all of the subsequent campaigns that have followed in the last two years. Unlike other wars, our present offensives going into the third year of fighting have cost far fewer lives than the first 25 months of any major conflict in American history \u2014 the Revolutionary War, the Civil War, World War I, or World War II. But then, to see the logic of this anomaly, one must first accept the initial premise that we are currently in a war \u2014 and millions of Americans apparently do not.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-size: medium;\">ANTIWAR FEELING IS RISING<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Of course, we cringe in despair at Americans killed and billions of dollars in costs to rebuild Iraq. But what is truly strange about the opposition to military efforts since 9\/11 is the absence of a serious alternative strategy. It is easy to quibble about going into Iraq or the problems of sniping, bombing, or power and water in Baghdad; but so far the opponents of the war have not advocated any of the measures that their spiritual forerunners in Vietnam found so successful in ending hostilities \u2014 from sit-ins, daily demonstrations, and teach-ins, to military resistance and the cut-off of funding.<\/p>\n<p>The Senate, which voted overwhelming to give President Bush the authority to fight in Iraq, has few voices who wish either to rescind that legal prerogative or to deny funds for it. Our supposed European enemies have organized no real counterbalance to pressure us to leave; even Sweden has not yet recalled its ambassador. French newspapers may blare, &#8220;The slowly rotting situation in Iraq, the Mideast and Afghanistan has destroyed the myth American omnipotence,&#8221; but they don&#8217;t tell us how removing the Taliban and Saddam Hussein is worse than selling weapons to them \u2014 or why and how France lost 30 times more of its own citizens to heat in a month than we lost soldiers in battle in two years. Apparently French apartments are far more deadly places than the Pakistani border or the Sunni Triangle.<\/p>\n<p>Here at home, the campuses are relatively quiet. The most recently announced Democratic presidential candidate, Gen. Clark, is on record praising the present administration for arresting the drift of prior years. And for all of Howard Dean&#8217;s invective, he is no Eugene McCarthy, and thus has offered no proposals to end the appropriations for Iraq in lieu of empty slurs and smug criticisms.<\/p>\n<p>Why? Besides the obvious fact that fewer American soldiers have been killed in two years of fighting than often were lost in one week in Vietnam, it is hard to rescind a war that has made the United States more secure and 26 million people freer \u2014 and taken out the most odious fascist in the Middle East, who was once bombed by Bill Clinton without either Senate or U.N. approval. So when Wesley Clark in May 2001 applauded the Bush team for its efforts to restore deterrence, and most of the serious Democratic candidates supported the Clinton administration in its past bombing to prevent the spread of Saddam&#8217;s WMDs, it is tricky now simply to convince anyone that the entire thing was cooked up in Texas.<\/p>\n<p>Americans may be angry, but most of them are irritated with the Iraqis, for not assuming responsibility for their own fate and showing some gratitude for their liberation \u2014 as well as the Arab world in general, whose &#8220;moderate&#8221; journalists and intellectuals are more critical of the new democratic council in Baghdad than the corrupt autocracies in Cairo, Damascus, and on the West Bank.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-size: medium;\">THE UNITED STATES IS ALONE AND ISOLATED<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Which countries have become hostile to the United States in the wake of the Iraqi war? The United Kingdom? Australia? Spain? Italy? Have even India, Russia, or China turned away or threatened us? Have Jordan and Egypt thrown up their hands and joined the enemy?<\/p>\n<p>Besides North Korea, Syria, and Iran, those states peeved at recent events are, in fact, a handful of countries \u2014 Germany, France, Belgium, Sweden, Greece, Syria, Palestine, Algeria, and a few other Arab states. Many of them, as we speak, are still engaged in some sort of military relationship with the United States \u2014 NATO coordination, Mediterranean patrolling, hosting of United States troops \u2014 joint operations all subject to sudden cancellation at the pleasure of any of these governments. European elites might harp at GPS bombs, but the masses quietly at home, far away from the coffeehouses, acknowledge that the use of such precision weapons during the last decade \u2014 whether in Belgrade, Kabul, or Baghdad \u2014 hinged on one salient characteristic: They were intended to distinguish fascists from the victims of their state-sanctioned murder.<\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-size: medium;\">THE SO-CALLED WMD CRISIS<\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Ex post facto, all presidents are blamed for getting Americans into wars \u2014 from Wilson in World War I to Reagan in Grenada, as incidents like Pearl Harbor, Tonkin, and the captive students in Grenada were all said to have been concocted. Did Lincoln, Wilson, Roosevelt, Johnson, and Reagan all lie, misjudge, or overreact to draw us into wars?<\/p>\n<p>But, in contrast, this war was predicated on a\u00a0<i>variety<\/i>\u00a0of immediate reasons \u2014 so much so that antebellum critics complained that the Bush administration was using a shot-gun approach in advancing too many causes for war: the broken agreements of 1991; twelve years of no-fly zones that were legal acts of war; Saddam&#8217;s past invasions or attacks against four countries; genocide against the Kurds; violation of U.N. accords; the harboring of terrorists in a post-9\/11 world; and a host of others. The WMD charge was also predicated on the Clinton administration&#8217;s bombing and perhaps killing 1,000 Iraqis to take out Saddam&#8217;s WMD capability; thus, according to popular belief here and abroad, these weapons once existed, and yet the bombing offered no proof of their destruction.<\/p>\n<p>There is, however, a political crisis. Critics of the near-flawless military campaign of three weeks were stymied when none of their bleak scenarios came to pass: thousands killed; millions of refugees; governments toppled; terrorist attacks in the United States; mass starvation; and hundreds of U.N. camps. Thus in a frenzied election year they have turned to two backup positions: reconstruction as &#8220;quagmire&#8221; and WMDs as the sole (and fraudulent) reason for war. Both strategies are risky because they presuppose that a year from now Iraq will be worse, not better, and that there will be no forthcoming textual or eyewitness reports that such weapons in fact were hidden, exported, or secretly dismantled as some goofy gambit of an unhinged dictator.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, rogue states like Iran and North Korea will soon emulate the strategy of Saddam Hussein \u2014 but learning the critical lesson of first finishing their bombs before invading neighbors or confronting the United States. Thus the irony of this phony debate is that, in the future, an exasperated United States, in an act of unilateral\u00a0<i>defense<\/i>, will reluctantly shy away from the thankless task of policing such regimes, and instead press on with its own military preparedness and missile defense \u2014 allowing the more circumspect and purportedly sober EU and U.N. to pay blackmail or pass empty resolutions to deal with these new rogue nuclear states.<\/p>\n<p>Good luck to them both.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<p>\u00a92004 Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>More myths about the current war. by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online \u201cThe war is against &#8216;terror&#8217;.&#8221; As a number of astute observers have reminded us, terror is a\u00a0method, not an enemy. And we are no more in a war against it than we were once fighting the scourge of Zeros or the plague [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[810],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-1gf","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":1824,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/some-thoughts-on-the-war-on-terror\/","url_meta":{"origin":4851,"position":0},"title":"Some Thoughts on the War on Terror","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 21, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson NRO's The Corner The New, Upside-Down War on Terror Is there any logic in the confusion of the Obama administration's actions and statements on fighting the war on terror? On the one hand, we had a two-year campaign (2007\u201308)\u00a0of damning the Bush protocols, from renditions and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;February 2010&quot;","block_context":{"text":"February 2010","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2010\/february-2010\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3636,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/is-the-war-on-terror-over\/","url_meta":{"origin":4851,"position":1},"title":"Is the War on Terror Over?","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 30, 2007","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services Do we still need to fight a war on terror? The answer seems to be no for an increasing number in the West who are weary over Afghanistan and Iraq or complacent from the absence of a major attack on the scale of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;April 2007&quot;","block_context":{"text":"April 2007","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2007\/april-2007\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5911,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-obama-borg\/","url_meta":{"origin":4851,"position":2},"title":"The Obama Borg","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 30, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"How \"man-caused disasters\" replaced Islamist terrorism in the Obama lexicon. by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online In\u00a0Star Trek\u00a0lore, the Borg\u00a0was a collective of servile drone operatives that sought to assimilate other species into\u00a0its \u201chive mind.\u201d Something akin to that creepy groupthink arose when the Obama administration took power and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Terrorism&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Terrorism","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/war-on-terror\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1910,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/who-is-the-enemy\/","url_meta":{"origin":4851,"position":3},"title":"Who Is the Enemy?","author":"victorhanson","date":"January 6, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson NRO's\u00a0The Corner I\u00a0don't think anyone knows quite what this administration's anti-terrorism policy is. Last August, Obama's counterterrorism chief, John Brennan, lambasted the Bush administration, citing \"the inflammatory rhetoric, hyperbole and intellectual narrowness that has often characterized the debate over the president's national security policies\" and criticizing\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;January 2010&quot;","block_context":{"text":"January 2010","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2010\/january-2010\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1720,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-war-on-terror-bush-without-the-stetson\/","url_meta":{"origin":4851,"position":4},"title":"The War on Terror&#8211;Bush Without the Stetson","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 13, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson NRO's\u00a0The Corner There is much to criticize about President Obama on foreign policy, but increasingly, despite all the \u201creset button\u201d rhetoric and the obligatory nods to the Left, his anti-terrorism policies are becoming near identical extensions (if in cynical fashion) of George Bush\u2019s.\u00a0 I can\u2019t think\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;April 2010&quot;","block_context":{"text":"April 2010","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2010\/april-2010\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2837,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/our-new-sort-of-war\/","url_meta":{"origin":4851,"position":5},"title":"Our New Sort of War","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 20, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services President Obama proclaims no more of George Bush's \"war on terror,\" even as he silently keeps most of it in place. The result is as confusing as it soon will be dangerous. In these first 100 days of his presidency, Barack Obama has\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;April 2009&quot;","block_context":{"text":"April 2009","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2009\/april-2009\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4851"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4851"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4851\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4852,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4851\/revisions\/4852"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4851"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4851"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4851"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}