{"id":4735,"date":"2004-04-23T18:07:17","date_gmt":"2004-04-23T18:07:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=4735"},"modified":"2013-04-08T18:08:35","modified_gmt":"2013-04-08T18:08:35","slug":"myth-or-reality","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/myth-or-reality\/","title":{"rendered":"Myth or Reality?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>Will Iraq work? That&#8217;s up to us.<\/h1>\n<p>by Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<p><em>National Review Online<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Myth #1: America turned off its allies.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">According to John Kerry, due to inept American diplomacy and unilateral arrogance, the United States failed to get the Europeans and the U.N. on board for the war in Iraq. Thus, unlike in Afghanistan, we find ourselves alone.<!--more--><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">In fact, there are only about 4,500-5,500 NATO troops in Afghanistan right now. The United States and its Anglo allies routed the Taliban by themselves. NATO contingents in Afghanistan are not commensurate with either the size or the wealth of Europe.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">There are far more Coalition troops in Iraq presently than in Afghanistan. As in the Balkans, NATO and EU troops will arrive only when the United States has achieved victory and provided security. The same goes for the U.N., which did nothing in Serbia and Rwanda, but watched thousands being butchered under its nose. It fled from Iraq after its first losses.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Yes, the U.N. will return to Iraq \u2014 but only when the United States defeats the insurrectionists. It will stay away if we don&#8217;t. American victory or defeat, as has been true from Korea to the Balkans, will alone determine the degree of (usually post-bellum) participation of others.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Myth #2: Democracy cannot be implemented by force.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">This is a very popular canard now. The myth is often floated by Middle Eastern intellectuals and American leftists \u2014 precisely those who for a half-century damned the United States for its support of anti-Communist authoritarians.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Now that their dreams of strong U.S. advocacy for consensual government have been realized, they are panicking at that sudden nightmare \u2014 terrified that their fides, their careers, indeed their entire boutique personas might be endangered by finding themselves on the same side of history as the United States. Worse, history really does suggest that democracy often follows only from force or its threat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">One does not have to go back to ancient Athens \u2014 in 507 or 403 B.C. \u2014 to grasp the depressing fact that most authoritarians do not surrender power voluntarily. There would be no democracy today in Japan, South Korea, Italy, or Germany without the Americans&#8217; defeat of fascists and Communists. Democracies in France and most of Western Europe were born from Anglo-American liberation; European resistance to German occupation was an utter failure. Panama, Granada, Serbia, and Afghanistan would have had no chance of a future without the intervention of American troops.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">All of Eastern Europe is free today only because of American deterrence and decades of military opposition to Communism. Very rarely in the modern age do democratic reforms emerge spontaneously and indigenously (ask the North Koreans, Cubans, or North Vietnamese). Tragically, positive change almost always appears after a war in which authoritarians lose or are discredited (Argentina or Greece), bow to economic or cultural coercion (South Africa), or are forced to hold elections (Nicaragua).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Myth #3: Lies got us into this war.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Did the administration really mislead us about the reasons to go to war, and does it really now find itself with an immoral conflict on its hands? Mr. Bush&#8217;s lectures about WMD, while perhaps privileging such fears over more pressing practical and humanitarian reasons to remove Saddam Hussein, took their cue from prior warnings from Bill Clinton, senators of both parties including John Kerry, and both the EU and U.N.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">If anyone goes back to read justifications for Desert Fox (December 1998) or those issued right after September 11 by an array of American politicians, then it is clear that Mr. Bush simply repeated the usual Western litany of about a decade or so \u2014 most of it best formulated by the Democratic party under Bill Clinton. Indeed, we opted to launch that campaign in large part because of Iraq&#8217;s work on WMDs.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">No, the real rub is whether Iraq will work: If it does, the WMD bogeyman disappears; if not, it becomes the surrogate issue to justify withdrawing.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Myth #4: Profit-making led to this war.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Then there is the strange idea that American administration officials profited from the war. Companies like Bechtel and Halliburton are supposedly &#8220;cashing in,&#8221; either on oil contracts or rebuilding projects \u2014 as if any company is lining up to lure thousands of workers to the Iraqi oasis to lounge and cheat in such a paradise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">This idea is absurd for a variety of other reasons, too. Iraqi oil is for the first time under Iraqi, rather than a dictator&#8217;s, control. And the Iraqi people most certainly will not sign over their future oil reserves to greedy companies in the manner that Saddam gave French consortia almost criminally profitable contracts. Indeed, no Iraqi politician is going to demand to pump more oil to lower gas prices in the country that freed him. Some imperialism.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">All U.S. construction is subject to open audit and assessment. A zealous media has not yet found any signs of endemic or secret corruption. There really is a giant scandal surrounding Iraq, but it involves (1) the United Nations Oil-for-Food program, in which U.N. officials and Saddam Hussein, hand-in-glove with European and Russian oil companies, robbed revenues from the Iraqi people; and (2) French petroleum interests that strong-armed a tottering dictator to sign over his country&#8217;s national treasure to Parisian profiteers under conditions that no consensual government would ever agree to. The only legitimate accusation of Iraqi profiteering does not involve Dick Cheney or Halliburton, but rather Kofi Annan&#8217;s negligence and his son Kojo&#8217;s probable malfeasance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #a01805; font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Myth #5: Israel has caused the United States untold headaches in the Arab world by its intransigent policies.<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The refutation of this myth could take volumes, given the depth of daily misinformation. Perhaps, though, we can sum up the absurdity by looking at the nature of West Bank demonstrations over the past few months.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The issues baffle Americans: Some Arab citizens of Israel, residing in almost entirely Arab border towns and calling themselves Palestinians, were furious about Mr. Sharon&#8217;s offer to cede them sovereign Israeli soil and thus allow them to join the new Palestinian nation. Others were hysterical that two killers \u2014 who promised not merely the &#8220;liberation&#8221; of the West Bank, but also the utter destruction of Israel \u2014 were in fact killed in a war by Israelis. Both of the deceased had damned the United States and expressed support for Islamicists now killing our soldiers in Iraq \u2014 even as their supporters whined that we did not lament their recent departures to a much-praised paradise.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Elsewhere fiery demonstrators were shaking keys to houses that they have not been residing in for 60 years \u2014 furious about the forfeiture of the &#8220;right of return&#8221; and their inability to migrate to live out their lives in the hated &#8220;Zionist entry.&#8221; Notably absent were the relatives of the hundreds of thousands of Jews of Baghdad, Cairo, Damascus, and other Arab capitals who years ago were all ethnically cleansed and sent packing from centuries-old homes, but apparently got on with what was left of their lives.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The Palestinians will, in fact, get their de facto state, though one that may be now cut off entirely from Israeli commerce and cultural intercourse. This is an apparently terrifying thought: Palestinian men can no longer blow up Jews on Monday, seek dialysis from them on Tuesday, get an Israeli paycheck on Wednesday, demonstrate to CNN cameras about the injustice of it all on Thursday \u2014 and then go back to tunneling under Gaza and three-hour, all-male, conspiracy-mongering sessions in coffee-houses on Friday. Beware of getting what you bomb for.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Perhaps the absurdity of the politics of the Middle East is best summed up by the recent visit of King Abdullah of Jordan, a sober and judicious autocrat, or so we are told. As the monarch of an authoritarian state, recipient of hundreds of millions of dollars in annual American aid, son of a king who backed Saddam Hussein in the first Gulf War, and a leader terrified that the Israeli fence might encourage Palestinian immigration into his own Arab kingdom, one might have thought that he could spare us the\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.commonwealthclub.org\/archive\/04\/04-04abdullah-speech.html\">moral lectures at San Francisco&#8217;s Commonwealth Club<\/a>\u00a0\u2014 especially when his elite Jordanian U.N. peacekeepers were just about to murder American citizens in Kosovo while terrorists in his country tried to mass murder Americans with gas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Instead we got the broken-record Middle East sermon on why Arabs don&#8217;t like Americans \u2014 as if we had forgotten 9\/11 and its quarter-century-long precursors. Does this sensible autocrat \u2014 perhaps the most reasonable man in the region \u2014 ever ask himself about questions of symmetry and reciprocity?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Is there anything like a Commonwealth Club in Amman? And if not, why not? And could a Mr. Blair or Mr. Bush in safety and freedom visit Amman to hold a public press conference, much less to lecture his Jordanian hosts on why Americans in general \u2014 given state-sponsored terrorism, Islamic extremism, and failed Middle Eastern regimes \u2014 have developed such unfavorable attitudes towards so many Arab societies?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">What then is the truth of this so-often-caricatured war?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">On the bright side, there has not been another 9\/11 mass-murder. And this is due entirely to our increased vigilance, the latitude given our security people by the hated Patriot Act, and the idea that the war (not a DA&#8217;s inquiry) should be fought abroad not at home.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The Taliban was routed and Afghanistan has the brightest hopes in thirty years. Pakistan, so unlike 1998, is not engaged in breakneck nuclear proliferation abroad. Libya claims a new departure from its recent past. Syria fears a nascent dissident movement. Saddam is gone. Iran is hysterical about new scrutiny. American troops are out of Saudi Arabia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">True, we are facing various groups jockeying for power in a new Iraq; and the country is still unsettled. Yet millions of Kurds are satisfied and pro-American. Millions more Shiites want political power \u2014 and think that they can get it constitutionally through us rather than out of the barrel of a gun following an unhinged thug. After all, any fool who names his troops &#8220;Mahdists&#8221; is sorely misinformed about the fate of the final resting place of the Great Mahdi, the couplets of Hilaire Beloc, and what happened to thousands of Mahdist zealots at Omdurman.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">So, we can either press ahead in the face of occasionally bad news from Iraq (though it will never be of the magnitude that once came from Sugar Loaf Hill or the icy plains near the Yalu that did not faze a prior generation&#8217;s resolve) \u2014 or we can withdraw. Then watch the entire three-year process of real improvement start to accelerate\u00a0<i>in reverse<\/i>. If after 1975 we thought that over a million dead in Cambodia, another million on rickety boats fleeing Vietnam, another half-million sent to camps or executed, hundreds of thousands of refugees arriving in America, a Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, an Iranian take-over of the U.S. embassy, oil-embargos, Communist entry into Central America, a quarter-century of continual terrorist attacks, and national invective were bad, just watch the new world emerge when Saddam&#8217;s Mafioso or Mr. Sadr&#8217;s Mahdists force our departure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">This war was always a gamble, but not for the reasons many Americans think. We easily had, as proved, the military power to defeat Saddam; we embraced the idealism and humanity to eschew realpolitik and offer something different in the place of mass murder. And we are winning on all fronts at a cost that by any historical measure has confirmed both our skill and resolve.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">But the lingering question \u2014 one that has never been answered \u2014 was always our attention and will. The administration assumed that in occasional times of the inevitable bad news, we were now more like the generation that endured the surprise of Okinawa and Pusan rather than Tet and Mogadishu. All were bloody fights; all were similarly controversial and unexpected; all were alike proof of the fighting excellence of the American soldiers \u2014 but not all were seen as such by Americans. The former were detours on the road to victory and eventual democracy; the latter led to self-recrimination, defeat, and chaos in our wake.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The choice between myth and reality is ours once more.<\/span><\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">\u00a9 2004 Victor Davis Hanson<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Will Iraq work? That&#8217;s up to us. by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online Myth #1: America turned off its allies. According to John Kerry, due to inept American diplomacy and unilateral arrogance, the United States failed to get the Europeans and the U.N. on board for the war in Iraq. Thus, unlike in Afghanistan, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[803],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-1en","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":4767,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/blame-whom\/","url_meta":{"origin":4735,"position":0},"title":"Blame Whom?","author":"victorhanson","date":"March 14, 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Private Papers Let me get this straight. Two-and-a-half years after September 11, on a similar eleventh day of the month, 911 days following 9-11, and on the eve of Spanish elections, Al Qaeda or its epigones blows up 200 and wounds 1,400 Spaniards. This horrific attack\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;March 2004&quot;","block_context":{"text":"March 2004","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2004\/march-2004\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2168,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/afghan-mythologies\/","url_meta":{"origin":4735,"position":1},"title":"Afghan Mythologies","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 9, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services As President Obama decides whether to send more troops to Afsghanistan, we should remember that most of the conventional pessimism about Afghanistan is only half-truth. Remember the mantra that the region is the \"graveyard of empires,\" where Alexander the Great, the British in\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;November 2009&quot;","block_context":{"text":"November 2009","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2009\/november-2009\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2990,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/phony-war-afghanistan-and-the-democrats\/","url_meta":{"origin":4735,"position":2},"title":"Phony War: Afghanistan and the Democrats","author":"victorhanson","date":"January 30, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson World Affairs Most Americans in 2003 thought that the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq were complementary theaters in the wider war on radical Islamic terrorism and the authoritarian Middle East regimes that aided and abetted it. The anti-Iraq War left agreed that the two fronts were\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;January 2009&quot;","block_context":{"text":"January 2009","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2009\/january-2009\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":7900,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/bomb-occupy-or-neither\/","url_meta":{"origin":4735,"position":3},"title":"Bomb, Occupy, or Neither?","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 2, 2014","format":false,"excerpt":"Blowing apart a problem for a while is different from ending it for good. by Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review Online Wars usually end only when the defeated aggressor believes it would be futile to resume the conflict. Lasting peace follows if the loser is then forced to change\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Terrorism&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Terrorism","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/war-on-terror\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/10\/pic_giant_1001214_SM_Hornets-Over-Iraq_0-500x291.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3355,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/did-we-give-up-on-libya\/","url_meta":{"origin":4735,"position":4},"title":"Did We Give Up on Libya?","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 11, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services President Obama has announced that America would stop attacking Col. Muammar Gadhafi's forces in Libya. He instead hopes that others can force out Gadhafi \u2014 or that the dictator will leave through economic and diplomatic pressure. It will apparently be up to NATO\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Libya&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Libya","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/the-world\/the-middle-east\/libya\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1348,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/a-tale-of-two-surges\/","url_meta":{"origin":4735,"position":5},"title":"A Tale of Two Surges","author":"victorhanson","date":"December 6, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services From 2007 to 2009, a surge of 20,000 troops under the generalship of David Petraeus saved a mostly lost war in Iraq. Petraeus\u2019s counterinsurgency doctrine helped win over the population, as the surge in troops gave greater security to Iraq\u2019s government and military.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Iraq&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Iraq","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/the-world\/the-middle-east\/iraq\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4735"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4735"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4735\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4736,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4735\/revisions\/4736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}