{"id":4711,"date":"2004-05-21T17:57:31","date_gmt":"2004-05-21T17:57:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=4711"},"modified":"2013-04-08T17:58:26","modified_gmt":"2013-04-08T17:58:26","slug":"a-mixed-report-grading-the-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/a-mixed-report-grading-the-war\/","title":{"rendered":"A Mixed Report: Grading the War"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>by Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<p><em>Private Papers<\/em><\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<h1><b>Strategy: A<\/b><\/h1>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"left\">\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The dilemma of the United States in this war is\u00a0<i>not<\/i>\u00a0a strategic one. After September 11 Americans jettisoned the trendy, but flawed, exegesis that Islamic fascism was an irritant only\u2014one that could be addressed by Grand Juries, cruise missiles, \u201cboxing\u201d in rogue nations like Iraq and Syria, and turning to Middle Eastern \u201cexperts\u201d to learn how colonialism, racism, and imperialism understandably had energized millions in the Middle East against the United States.<!--more--><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">So give us credit. Most Americans instead now accept that we know what the new fascism is and how to combat it. Middle-East tyrannies have failed their people at precisely the time a grating and alluring globalization\u2014from internet and cell phones to videos and easy immigration\u2014reminds their multitudes just how far behind and isolated from the world they have become.<\/span><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">In response, Arab state-sanctioned media deflect leaders\u2019 moral and intellectual corruption by blaming the United States, in addition evoking faux issues of \u201chonor\u201d and \u201cpride\u201d\u2014so critical to the Arab (male) Street\u2019s sense of worth\u2014in all matters dealing with Israel. So for all the verbiage of a \u201cwar against terror\u201d, we realize that we are in a struggle not against a mere method, but fighting Islamicists and their fascist nation-state supporters<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">In response, American strategy since 9-11 has been about as good as we could expect and three-pronged in its efforts. Hunt down the Al Qaedists themselves and hold governments responsible who now or in the past have harbored terrorists\u2014sometimes removing them (the Taliban and Saddam), on other occasions coercing them (Libya), as well as appealing to their better sense of judgment (Jordan, Morocco, or Algeria).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Second, for those terror-abetting regimes we cannot fight openly\u2014whether due to Saudi Arabia\u2019s stranglehold on a quarter of the world\u2019s oil or Pakistan\u2019s possession of nuclear bombs, or Syria\u2019s proximity to the temporary mess next door\u2014apply a mixture of money, jawboning, and veiled threats to make them cease financial support and at least stay neutral.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Third, our strategy is not entirely coercive, as the United States is pouring billions of dollars into Iraq, drawing the Gulf states under the modernizing umbrella of Western globalization, giving billions in outright cash aid to Jordan and Egypt, and spending millions more to explain to the Arab masses why we are not their enemies.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">What next and when will we win? Ultimately, Iran, Syria, and Lebanon must be addressed\u2014either fought, coerced, flipped, or persuaded\u2014into ending all support for Islamic fascists, both directly by ceasing money, sanctuary, and bases, and more indirectly in accepting democratic reforms that will drain their own swamps of human misery. We will win only when an al-Zarqaqi or a bin Laden has nowhere to sleep, eat, or walk\u2014his presence as odious to his neighbors and dangerous to his hosts as a Nazi Party official was in 1946 in European cities.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Tactics: B-<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Unfortunately strategic success only follows from battlefield victories and the above goals hinge on thousands of American youth now fighting very nasty people in Iraq and Afghanistan. Yet here we have one great advantage. The United States military is the most formidable force in the history of civilization, as it proved in Afghanistan, Iraq, and now in places like Najef. Anytime and anywhere it is allowed to fight, it wins. But so far its lethality has not always translated into strategic success\u2014either securing absolute peace in Afghanistan or Iraq, or sending a powerful warning to Syria or Iran that their fates are one with the Taliban and Saddam Hussein. Why so?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">War has butted up against the postmodern world\u2014in which enemy armies are expected to collapse rather than to be destroyed. Violence used for humanitarian purposes\u2014ceasing mass murder or state fascism\u2014is deemed by its very nature as amoral. Television editorializes that those who fight in uniforms are killers and those in robes and scarves freedom-fighters\u2014even when the former are seeking democracy and the latter tyranny.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">In reaction, all of our recent mistakes are mostly a result of a misplaced sense of restraint and worry over our utopian critics \u2014not arresting or shooting the initial looters, not employing and reforming the existing Iraqi army, pausing outside Fallujah, letting al Sadr reach Mahdist stature, and allowing Iran and Syria easy infiltration into Iraq.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Each time we sought not to mete out terrible justice to a few hundred, thousands more lost confidence in us. Our military has crafted the tactics to win\u2014whether in the streets, desert, or air. But we must unleash them to destroy the enemy first, and, SECOND, therein allow others to follow to win hearts and mind.<\/span><\/p>\n<p align=\"center\"><strong>Message: D<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The standard wisdom repeated ad nauseam in the\u00a0<i>New York Times<\/i>is that we were clumsy in our statecraft and gratuitously offended the Europeans and Arab \u201cmoderates.\u201d In fact, the former were never going to participate in Iraq and do little in Afghanistan, and the latter mostly wished us to lose in both places The problem was not that we were unable to build a gigantic coalition\u2014dozens of nations after all are with us in Iraq\u2014but that we failed to explain the moral issues at stake to billions watching.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">The world has not heard much from an unapologetic American statesman that we are in a war for our very civilization from Bali to Kabul and Manhattan to Fallujah. We must tell the Europeans that well before Iraq, fascists\u2014those who hate religious tolerance, equality of women, liberty, and consensual government\u2014beheaded Americans, butchered civilians at work, called for murder in fatwas, and promised terror and death in Europe. Iraq was not the genesis, but the crystallization, of their hatred.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">We might have pointed out that the United Nations has done little to address world terrorism, less to stop mass murder in Bosnia, Rwanda, or Iraq, and nothing to remove the heinous Taliban or Saddam. Somehow an American statesman is more likely to be seen apologizing for sexual humiliation in an Iraqi prison than explaining to the world how the Oil for Food scandal robbed thousands of poor and hungry Iraqis of daily sustenance. Halliburton, under public contract and constant scrutiny to rebuild Iraq, is more likely to be the butt of world opprobrium than a Swiss multinational, which with Kojo Anan\u2019s help, robbed the poor to pay Saddam.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Worse, here at home we have not explained the terrible ironies of this war to the American public. More civilians in our cities were incinerated than all the soldiers who have died fighting abroad\u2014and al Qaeda promises a worse toll to come through the unleashing of weapons even more horrible than crashing airliners.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Americans do not grasp that should a constitutional government emerge in Iraq, al Qaeda is faced with an enemy far more formidable than the United States. The old false choice between strong-armed dictators and Islamic fascists will start to crumble with a third option that says to the Arab Street: \u201cLook to your own elected government\u2014that is, yourselves\u2014not the United States or Israel, when the sewers back up and the power fails.\u201d So, yes, what happens in the next two or three months is the most critical event since September 11.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">We need to accept that our enemy is not a fleet of bombers or subs, but something far more insidious and formidable. He is a stealthy foe that so far has killed more Americans in their home streets than all of Hitler\u2019s Storm Troopers, Tojo\u2019s carriers, or Stalin\u2019s Migs\u2014and more eerily still, with far less furious a response from Americans than was true during the last sixty years.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">Have there been mistakes? Of course. Admit them and confess they were errors of omission, not commission\u2014of misplaced leniency, not excessive brutality. The Iraqi army should have been weeded from within rather than destroyed outright. The first wave of looters whose crimes led to a rampage that stole six months of Iraq\u2019s future and wrecked the country should have been shot. Abu Ghraib should have been exploded on liberation in front of world television as testament to its Baathist horror, an iconic act of our resolve to end the mass murder.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">But all that is in the past. Our strategy is still inspired and our military is superb. But we need to let them win and then tell the world why. And if we don\u2019t, we may very well lose.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<p><span style=\"font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-size: medium;\">\u00a9 2004 Victor Davis Hanson<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Victor Davis Hanson Private Papers Strategy: A The dilemma of the United States in this war is\u00a0not\u00a0a strategic one. After September 11 Americans jettisoned the trendy, but flawed, exegesis that Islamic fascism was an irritant only\u2014one that could be addressed by Grand Juries, cruise missiles, \u201cboxing\u201d in rogue nations like Iraq and Syria, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[802],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-1dZ","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":3889,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/its-fascism-and-its-islamic\/","url_meta":{"origin":4711,"position":0},"title":"It&#8217;s Fascism&#8211;and It&#8217;s Islamic","author":"victorhanson","date":"September 11, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services George Bush recently declared that we are at war with \"Islamic fascism.\" Muslim-American groups were quick to express furor at the expression. Middle Eastern autocracies complained that it was provocative and insensitive. Critics of the term chosen by the president, however, should remember\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;September 2006&quot;","block_context":{"text":"September 2006","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2006\/september-2006\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4513,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/heartbreak-aside-iraq-progresses\/","url_meta":{"origin":4711,"position":1},"title":"Heartbreak Aside, Iraq Progresses","author":"victorhanson","date":"January 10, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson This column was syndicated by the Herald Tribune\u00a0Co. and appeared in newspapers last weekend. This New Year, Americans should reflect on what we have accomplished in more than three years of hard war since being attacked on Sept. 11. The Taliban and Saddam Hussein are gone\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;January 2005&quot;","block_context":{"text":"January 2005","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2005\/january-2005\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4509,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/islamicists-hate-us-for-who-we-are-not-what-we-do\/","url_meta":{"origin":4711,"position":2},"title":"Islamicists hate us for who we are, not what we do","author":"victorhanson","date":"January 18, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Chicago Tribune Co. As the third recent Middle East election nears in Iraq, Americans are still puzzled over why well-off Islamic fundamentalists crashed planes into skyscrapers and now send mercenaries to the Sunni Triangle to slaughter us as we sponsor democracy. Yet since Sept. 11, we\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;January 2005&quot;","block_context":{"text":"January 2005","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2005\/january-2005\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4581,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-perfect-storm-of-hating-bush-part-iv\/","url_meta":{"origin":4711,"position":3},"title":"The Perfect Storm of Hating Bush: Part IV","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 2, 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson This series written for\u00a0Private Papers\u00a0will appear in four parts. Part Four Hating Bush, cultural relativism and the war against the terrorists If the new hatred of George Bush is the natural expression of an elite that blurs truth and fiction, word and deed, then anger at\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;October 2004&quot;","block_context":{"text":"October 2004","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2004\/october-2004\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4554,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/allow-george-w-bush-to-finish-the-job\/","url_meta":{"origin":4711,"position":4},"title":"Allow George W. Bush to Finish the Job","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 2, 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"In war, the last campaigns are the bloodiest. by Victor Davis Hanson Wall Street Journal A shorter version of this essay appeared in the\u00a0Wall Street Journal. In singular moments in our history, the security of the United States hinged on a single presidential election. Imagine George McClellan recognizing an undefeated\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;November 2004&quot;","block_context":{"text":"November 2004","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2004\/november-2004\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4126,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/standoff-in-iraq-the-ied-vs-democracy\/","url_meta":{"origin":4711,"position":5},"title":"Standoff in Iraq: The IED vs. Democracy","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 24, 2006","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online The insurgency in Iraq has no military capability either to drive the United States military from Iraq or to stop the American training of Iraqi police and security forces \u2014 or, for that matter, to derail the formation of a new government. The\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;February 2006&quot;","block_context":{"text":"February 2006","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2006\/february-2006\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4711"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4711"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4711\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4712,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4711\/revisions\/4712"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}