{"id":3527,"date":"2007-09-25T21:56:19","date_gmt":"2007-09-25T21:56:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=3527"},"modified":"2013-03-27T21:57:23","modified_gmt":"2013-03-27T21:57:23","slug":"doomsday-debunked","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/doomsday-debunked\/","title":{"rendered":"Doomsday Debunked"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>The Middle East is not falling down.<\/h1>\n<p>by Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<p><em>National Review Online<\/em><\/p>\n<div align=\"left\">\n<p><span style=\"color: #646464; font-size: large;\">S<\/span>omething quite strange is happening: Despite all the bad news about the Middle East from the European and American media, things actually seem to be improving.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Iraq is getting better, and the opposition to the war is, in the current campaign cycle, is starting to shift away from the \u201cwar is lost\u201d to something more like \u201cstabilizing the government over time would not be worth the cumulative cost in American lives and treasure.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>All sober Democrats realize not only that the Moveon.org ad was a political disaster, but more importantly, that the Moveon.org\/Michael Moore\/Cindy Sheehan\/Hollywood ticking bombs actually scare off Americans, even as they demand more influence among the candidates.<\/p>\n<p>In the Middle East, bin Laden\u2019s approval ratings are way down; polls show that the tactic of suicide bombing has suffered a similar fate of declining popularity. Bin Laden\u2019s latest dyed-beard rant was pathetic, and ultimately only hurt him. For all the slurs about \u201cneocons\u201d and \u201cdemocratization\u201d there, reform perseveres. The Lebanese government has not fallen, but instead has moved against terrorists. Hamas has isolated itself, and suicide bombing from the West Bank has fallen sharply; the two factions in Palestine are clarifying things in a positive way, and the anti-Hamas Palestinian \u201cAuthority\u201d could, in theory, start to resemble\u00a0<i>mutatis mutandis<\/i>\u00a0the realignments taking place in Anbar.<\/p>\n<p>Pakistan seems to be ever so gradually and carefully inching back to constitutional elections. The next generation in Libya wants change. Something happened in Syria as a result of that air strike, which emphasizes that the Syrian-Iranian-North Korea axis is real (in spite of all the visits by Dennis Kucinich and Nancy Pelosi), and makes one wonder not just about Korea and Iran, but perhaps even about the role of Saddam\u2019s exiled technicians and\/or their equipment in all this.<\/p>\n<p>While the media talks only about the supposed impending strikes on Iran, the real news is that the theocracy is tottering as never before. The threat of \u201cconstitutional\u201d governments nearby, in Afghanistan and Iraq, is intolerable for Iran. Syria and Iran, far from being the \u201creal winners\u201d from our \u201cdebacle\u201d in Iraq, are actually more isolated than ever before, and are winning a new host of enemies, most notably in the Arab world.<\/p>\n<p>If this were to continue, and I think there is a good chance it will, then the Democrats need to start once again readjusting, especially on Iraq. They might want to consider a tactic along the following lines: their initial votes for the removal of Iraq were sound and not to be apologized for; then their timely constant haranguing led to the necessary changes that came kicking and screaming; and now thanks to their vigilance there is some hope of resolution \u2014 combined with reminders that they always supported principled aid for Middle East reformers.<\/p>\n<p>Geopolitically, the face of European leaders seems almost unrecognizable from its 2003 visage. Sarkozy and the French on Iran sound like the U.S. on Iraq in the late 1990s. Fear of Islamism has made the Swiss, Danish, and Dutch appear almost as 16th-century Europeans fearing the Ottomans. Even anti-American Greece, amid the forest fire outrage, reelected a conservative government.<\/p>\n<p>Russian thuggery has scared its neighbors to the west. China has been terribly tainted by its manufacturing scandals and reminded the world that it is an autocratic state after all. China, India, Europe, and the U.S. are all getting tired of $80 per barrel of oil, and especially of the notion that those who work hard to produce are forced to fork over their profits to those who simply pump and cause mischief.<\/p>\n<p>All in all, the world is in flux as never before, and the tired adjectives \u201cdisaster,\u201d \u201cfiasco,\u201d and \u201cblunder\u201d just don\u2019t describe the present state of global affairs, or the U.S. role in them.<\/p>\n<p>In truth, the future dangers \u2014 aside, perhaps, from an Iranian bomb \u2014 are not so much political or military as fiscal: a protectionist E.U. that racks up surpluses with a strong Euro but has too high unemployment and entitlements for an aging population; skyrocketing energy prices; and alarming U.S. debt and trade imbalances.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<p>\u00a92007 Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Middle East is not falling down. by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online Something quite strange is happening: Despite all the bad news about the Middle East from the European and American media, things actually seem to be improving.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[754],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-UT","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":3367,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/president-obamas-most-amazing-libyan-achievments\/","url_meta":{"origin":3527,"position":0},"title":"President Obama&#8217;s Most Amazing Libyan Achievments","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 4, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services By bombing Libya, President Obama has accomplished some things once thought absolutely impossible in America: (a)\u00a0War-mongering liberals: Liberals are now chest-thumping about military \u201cprogress\u201d in Libya. Even liberal television and radio commentators cite ingenious reasons why an optional, preemptive American intervention in an\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Libya&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Libya","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/the-world\/the-middle-east\/libya\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4381,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-caricature-and-reality-of-george-bush\/","url_meta":{"origin":3527,"position":1},"title":"The Caricature and Reality of George Bush","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 23, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services Moveon.org, \"Fahrenheit 9\/11,\" Anonymous, Richard Clark and now the Newsweek story about alleged desecration of the Koran \u2014 all these sensations of the day have been used to proclaim the supposed sins of the American administration in the Middle East. Even when Americans\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;May 2005&quot;","block_context":{"text":"May 2005","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2005\/may-2005\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4294,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-biteback-effect\/","url_meta":{"origin":3527,"position":2},"title":"The Biteback Effect","author":"victorhanson","date":"August 19, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"Do we even have a word to descrive the new criticism? by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online Sometimes even the English language is without the right word to describe a commonplace occurrence. We don't, for example, have a term quite like the German\u00a0schadenfreude: \"Taking malicious delight in someone else's\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;August 2005&quot;","block_context":{"text":"August 2005","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2005\/august-2005\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2041,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/myth-and-reality-after-911\/","url_meta":{"origin":3527,"position":3},"title":"Myth and Reality After 9\/11","author":"victorhanson","date":"September 13, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Tribune Media Services Why did radical Islamic terrorists kill almost 3,000 Americans a decade ago? Few still believe the old myth that prior US foreign policy or support for Israel logically earned us Osama bin Laden's wrath. After all, the US throughout the 1990s had saved\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;9\/11&quot;","block_context":{"text":"9\/11","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/war\/911\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4552,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/american-exceptionalism-the-message-of-tuesdays-verdict\/","url_meta":{"origin":3527,"position":4},"title":"American Exceptionalism: The Message of Tuesday&#8217;s Verdict","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 5, 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online Tuesday's election was the greatest turnout in American political history, the first majority vote for a president-elect since 1988, and the largest number of ballots cast for a president in our history. What are we to make of it all, besides the obvious\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;November 2004&quot;","block_context":{"text":"November 2004","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2004\/november-2004\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":4554,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/allow-george-w-bush-to-finish-the-job\/","url_meta":{"origin":3527,"position":5},"title":"Allow George W. Bush to Finish the Job","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 2, 2004","format":false,"excerpt":"In war, the last campaigns are the bloodiest. by Victor Davis Hanson Wall Street Journal A shorter version of this essay appeared in the\u00a0Wall Street Journal. In singular moments in our history, the security of the United States hinged on a single presidential election. Imagine George McClellan recognizing an undefeated\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;November 2004&quot;","block_context":{"text":"November 2004","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2004\/november-2004\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3527"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3527"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3527\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3528,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3527\/revisions\/3528"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}