{"id":1749,"date":"2010-03-31T20:46:02","date_gmt":"2010-03-31T20:46:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=1749"},"modified":"2013-03-12T20:47:21","modified_gmt":"2013-03-12T20:47:21","slug":"in-the-end-there-is-only-the-debt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/in-the-end-there-is-only-the-debt\/","title":{"rendered":"In the End, There Is Only the Debt"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>by Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<p>NRO&#8217;s\u00a0<em>The Corner<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Amid all the fighting over healthcare, Obama&#8217;s new promises, the Israeli spat, the Frum controversy,\u00a0<em>et al<\/em>., looms the national debt. We can ignore it; get angry at it and say, &#8220;What the hell, I&#8217;ll quadruple it!&#8221;; have our &#8220;experts&#8221; write sophistic treatises about how it either doesn&#8217;t matter or is in truth good; hear our politicians claim it is secondary to the passing of a &#8220;progressive&#8221; agenda; or secretly smile that its service will require higher taxes and more &#8220;redistributive change&#8221;; but in the end, what we as a nation collectively owe others and ourselves transcends politics.<!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Cranky 19th-century-minded farmers used to preach about the tentacles of low interest. Apparently they had this strange idea that when interest rates went too low, the uninformed mob-like masses borrowed too much \u2014 and the resulting live-for-today demand for cheap money forced the once-endless pool of ready loans to dry up and interest to rise \u2014 and a few smarter people were sticking around to profit when this cycle played out like clockwork.<\/p>\n<p>In short, the United States is floating far more loans than ever before in peacetime, and for longer scheduled durations, because interest rates are only a quarter of what they have been in the past. But this theory that we can endlessly multiply the size of our debt because the service costs remain low and static is a prescription for disaster \u2014 like the credit-card introductory offer of 2 to 3 percent for 6 months that hooks the naive into charging thousands of dollars, only to end up without the means to service the debt when the rate climbs over 20 percent. For a technocracy that is Ivy League certified and brags about its competency, we have fallen into the age-old trap that snares the naive ARM house buyer, the teenaged MasterCard mega-borrower, and the &#8220;free&#8221; coupon holder who heads headlong to Vegas.<\/p>\n<p>That we are borrowing now at cheap interest hundreds of billions for things that are unnecessary or counterproductive will only make it worse, psychologically, when we have to pay it all back with high interest. It reminds me of the boom-to-bust neighbor who bought his superfluous super-duper, hydra-headed, metallic red-painted hydraulic vine-cutter with easy farm loans in the late 1970s and, when headed for bankruptcy in the 1980s, looked at the now rusted, useless contraption in his barnyard and sighed to me, &#8220;And I&#8217;m still paying 17 percent on that sucker!&#8221;<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<p>\u00a92010 Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Victor Davis Hanson NRO&#8217;s\u00a0The Corner Amid all the fighting over healthcare, Obama&#8217;s new promises, the Israeli spat, the Frum controversy,\u00a0et al., looms the national debt. We can ignore it; get angry at it and say, &#8220;What the hell, I&#8217;ll quadruple it!&#8221;; have our &#8220;experts&#8221; write sophistic treatises about how it either doesn&#8217;t matter or [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[608],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-sd","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12398,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/victor-davis-hanson-the-spreading-debt-virus-5-potential-cures-for-30-trillion-problem\/","url_meta":{"origin":1749,"position":0},"title":"Victor Davis Hanson: The spreading debt virus \u2014 5 potential cures for $30 trillion problem","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 29, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Fox News The current\u00a0U.S. budget deficit\u00a0could soon exceed a record $4 trillion. The massive borrowing is being driven both by prior budget profligacy and a hurried effort by the\u00a0Donald Trump\u00a0administration to pump liquidity into a quarantined America. The shutdown has left the country on the cusp\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":113,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/dr-barack-and-mr-obama-on-the-debt-ceiling\/","url_meta":{"origin":1749,"position":1},"title":"Dr. Barack and Mr. Obama on the Debt Ceiling","author":"victorhanson","date":"January 19, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson NRO's\u00a0The Corner Barack Obama once had a lot of insightful things to say about the debt ceiling that transcended the usual political game of voting for debt-ceiling increases when your guy was president and against when he was not \u2014 and even some things that were\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economy","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/politics\/economy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11960,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/trump-or-what-exactly\/","url_meta":{"origin":1749,"position":2},"title":"Trump \u2014 or What, Exactly?","author":"victorhanson","date":"August 28, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review In traditional political terms, there is always an alternate agenda to an incumbent president\u2019s that reasonable voters can debate. In Trump\u2019s case, two massive annual budget deficits \u2014 coming on top of the previous two administrations that doubled the national debt \u2014 seem fair\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6626,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/sort-of-true-sort-of-not\/","url_meta":{"origin":1749,"position":3},"title":"Sort of True, Sort of Not","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 15, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson \/\/\u00a0NRO's The Corner The problem with negotiating with President Obama is not necessarily that he sometimes makes things up, but that he always sort of makes things up. Take a single recent October 8 press. All at once, the president used a weird assortment of similes\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Economic Policy&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Economic Policy","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/obama-administration\/economic-policy\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2186,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/all-falling-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":1749,"position":4},"title":"All Falling Down&#8230;","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 29, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson PJ Media Money Obama\u2019s mega-borrowing is predicated on a rather thin margin of safety. We can service nearly $2 trillion in additional debt this year \u2014 on top of the existing $11 trillion \u2014 only because interest rates are so low. But as a veteran of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;October 2009&quot;","block_context":{"text":"October 2009","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2009\/october-2009\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":6645,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-democratic-disasters-to-come\/","url_meta":{"origin":1749,"position":5},"title":"The Democratic Disasters to Come","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 21, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson \/\/\u00a0PJ Media\u00a0 The defunding wars are over. The accusations are fading. We are back to reality. Of course, America\u2019s long-term prospects, at least in comparison with other countries\u2019 futures \u2014 whether in terms of demography, military power, food-production constitutional stability, energy sources, or higher education \u2014\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;America's Future&quot;","block_context":{"text":"America's Future","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/americas-future\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/10\/3320771230_870c107a6e-300x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1749"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1749"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1749\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1750,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1749\/revisions\/1750"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1749"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1749"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1749"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}