{"id":1232,"date":"2010-09-28T02:08:07","date_gmt":"2010-09-28T02:08:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=1232"},"modified":"2013-03-07T02:09:10","modified_gmt":"2013-03-07T02:09:10","slug":"policies-based-on-illusion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/policies-based-on-illusion\/","title":{"rendered":"Policies Based on Illusion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>by Bruce S. Thornton<\/p>\n<p><em>City Journal<\/em><\/p>\n<p>The great historian of Soviet Russia, Robert Conquest, once wrote something about the dangers of na\u00efve diplomacy that I\u2019m reminded of daily. <!--more-->\u201cWe are still faced with the absolutely crucial problem of making the intellectual and imaginative effort\u00a0<em>not<\/em>\u00a0to project our ideas of common sense or natural motivation onto the products of totally different cultures,\u201d Conquest observed. \u201cThe central point is less that people misunderstand other people, or that cultures misunderstand other cultures, than that they have no notion that this may be the case. They assume that the light of their own parochial common sense is enough. And they frame policies based on illusions. Yet how profound is this difference between political psychologies and between the motivations of different political traditions, and how deep-set and how persistent these attitudes are!\u201d<\/p>\n<p>America\u2019s 30-year struggle with Islamic jihad has been defined by just this sort of failure of imagination. Yet the diplomatic pathology has much deeper roots, and reflects a larger set of assumptions about human and state behavior going back to the Enlightenment \u2014 what we can call utopian universalism. In this view, all peoples are essentially rational and want the same political and social goods, particularly personal freedom and material prosperity. If they behave irrationally or destructively in seeking other goods, blame this on the fact that they have not yet been educated to their true interests. They remain mired in ancient superstitions, particularly those of religion, ethnic loyalties, and nationalism. Yet in time, the progress of knowledge, technology, and global trade will sweep away these impediments to happiness.<\/p>\n<p>This vision of human identity lies behind the idealistic internationalism that dominates inter-state relations in the West. The same global progress that has led to international law, international courts of justice, and transnational institutions like the United Nations will, it\u2019s widely believed, eventually liberate people from irrational loyalties and violence. Diplomatic discussion and engagement, predicated on a global \u201charmony of interests\u201d and mediated by transnational organizations, will replace violence as the means for resolving conflict.<\/p>\n<p>Far from universal, however, these ideals reflect a particular history \u2014 that of the West \u2014 beginning in ancient Greece and Jerusalem and developed further by the Romans and Christianity. They have become globalized mainly by Western power and dominance. Nor does the history of the past two centuries support the narrative of steady progress away from the use of force in interstate relations. Within the West itself, this \u201cmoralizing internationalism,\u201d as historian Corelli Barnett calls it, was exploded by the carnage of the twentieth century, in which nationalist and ethnic loyalties, incoherent political religions like fascism and Communism, and finally a renewed religious fanaticism have created mountains of corpses.<\/p>\n<p>The critical intellectual error in this utopian view is the assumption that because all peoples are capable of desiring goods such as freedom and prosperity, then these goods will trump all others. Yet people pursue multiple goods, and can desire even conflicting goods at the same time. As Michael Novak has written, there is \u201cuniversal hunger for freedom,\u201d one that all peoples can satisfy with the right political values and institutions. But people and nations have other \u201chungers\u201d as well: to follow God\u2019s will, to get rich, to acquire power and prestige, or to take revenge on an enemy. If we dismiss these goods and national interests as mere illusions from humanity\u2019s benighted past \u2014 ghosts to be exorcised by material prosperity or education or diplomatic engagement \u2014 then indeed we will construct policies based on illusions, policies doomed to fail and thus compromise our security and interests. Diplomatic engagement demands an effort of imagination to recognize these motivational goods, no matter how strange or repellent, rather than dismiss them or subordinate them to our own.<\/p>\n<p>This failure of imagination in international relations was apparent long before our current conflict with modern jihadism. World War I demolished the pretensions of nineteenth-century internationalism, whether socialist or liberal democratic. Yet despite that lesson, the Allies created the League of Nations, the ineffectuality of which was clear long before the rise of Adolf Hitler. Hitler manipulated masterfully these delusions about universal goods, especially the desire for peace, and used the diplomatic \u201cengagement\u201d at Munich to take another step toward his aim of an Aryan empire. And as Conquest has chronicled, an expansionist Soviet Communism was abetted by the delusions of Cold War diplomacy predicated on false assumptions about Soviet motives.<\/p>\n<p>Munich in particular illustrates the dangers of projecting one\u2019s own motives or goods onto an aggressor. British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain failed to imagine that Hitler and the Germans, fired by revanchist passions and the lust for recovering lost prestige and power, were eager for conflict and had spent most of the interwar period preparing for it. Worse yet, this ignorance of true motives puts one at a disadvantage when dealing with an aggressor, who can conceal his aims under the pretext of diplomatic negotiation (as Hitler did), thus buying time and misdirecting his adversary by the duplicitous endorsement of ideals he knows are important to the West.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the examples of these historical failures, we have made the same mistakes in our conflict with Islamic jihad, starting with the Iranian Revolution in 1979. Rather than attempting to understand the religious motives of Islamic jihadists, which they clearly articulate and link to their reading of traditional Islam, we reduce them instead to our own secularized, materialist beliefs. In the West today, religious faith is often dismissed as a Marxist \u201copiate\u201d or a Freudian \u201cillusion,\u201d a mere compensation for more significant material causes such as education, economic advancement, or political freedom. Religion is trivialized into a mere lifestyle choice or source of private therapeutic solace. Shaped by these prejudices, we assume that Islam functions similarly for Islamists as Christianity does for today\u2019s Christians, and so cannot be the prime mover of their murderous deeds. Thus we refuse to believe that, in the twenty-first century, a major world religion could serve as the primary motivating force for jihadists around the world.<\/p>\n<p>Such has been the failure of imagination plaguing our encounter with violent jihad. Armed with these reductions of the Islamist cause to our own prejudices and ideals, President Obama has attempted to \u201cengage\u201d the Islamic world with a diplomatic outreach predicated on American guilt \u2014 as if sufficient American penance will dissuade jihadists from their religious fanaticism. Yet for all of the efforts at a new beginning he made during his speech last year in Cairo, for all the \u201cextended hands\u201d and solicitous letters to Iranian leaders touting their religion and civilization, Obama has reaped little but contempt. Iran continues its march toward nuclear weapons. As it has in the past, the failure of diplomatic imagination has blinded us to our enemy\u2019s motives, leading us, as Conquest warned, to \u201cpolicies based on illusions\u201d \u2014 and putting our national security at risk.<\/p>\n<div align=\"center\">\n<p>\u00a92010 Bruce S. Thornton<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>by Bruce S. Thornton City Journal The great historian of Soviet Russia, Robert Conquest, once wrote something about the dangers of na\u00efve diplomacy that I\u2019m reminded of daily.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[22,515],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-jS","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":3066,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-fog-of-revolution\/","url_meta":{"origin":1232,"position":0},"title":"The Fog of Revolution","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 22, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"by Bruce S. Thornton Advancing a Free Society Apart from celebratory statements applauding what looks like to us democratic \u201cpeople\u2019s revolutions\u201d against tyrannous autocrats, the uprisings sweeping across the Muslim Middle East have created great uncertainty for policy-makers as they try to calculate a response. Like war, revolutions take place\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Bruce S. Thornton&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Bruce S. Thornton","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/our-contributors\/bruce-s-thornton\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":763,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/americas-problem-of-assimilation\/","url_meta":{"origin":1232,"position":1},"title":"America&#8217;s Problem of Assimilation","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 28, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"by Bruce S. Thornton Defining Ideas The current Supreme Court term has been dominated by the Constitutional challenge to the Affordable Care Act, the healthcare legislation better known as Obamacare. But the Court has recently heard another case, this one concerning the controversial Arizona immigration law passed in 2010. Though\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Immigration&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Immigration","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/immigration\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":990,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/culture-matters\/","url_meta":{"origin":1232,"position":2},"title":"Culture Matters","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 4, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"by Bruce S. Thornton City Journal Review of\u00a0Why the West is Best: A Muslim Apostate\u2019s Defense of Liberal Democracy, by Ibn Warraq, (Encounter, 2011, 286 pp.) Occasionally, the mainstream media will let slip something that reveals the incoherence of multiculturalist orthodoxy. Not long ago, the\u00a0New York Timesreported on an Indian\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Reviews&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Reviews","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/opinion\/reviews\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":1024,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/on-ewald-stadler-another-european-who-gets-islam\/","url_meta":{"origin":1232,"position":3},"title":"On Ewald Stadler: Another European Who Gets Islam","author":"victorhanson","date":"December 18, 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"by Bruce s. Thornton RightNetworks.com Those of us who are hard on Europeans for their cringing appeasement of Muslim aggression need to acknowledge and support the brave few who speak out against it. The late Oriana Fallaci challenged her fellow Europeans to recognize the threat that unassimilated Muslim immigrants and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Bruce S. Thornton&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Bruce S. Thornton","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/our-contributors\/bruce-s-thornton\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":3823,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/dumbing-democracy-down\/","url_meta":{"origin":1232,"position":4},"title":"Dumbing Democracy Down","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 20, 2011","format":false,"excerpt":"by Bruce S. Thornton Advancing a Free Society Many in the west are interpreting the demonstrations in Egypt against Hosni Mubarak as populist expressions of \u201caspirations for a democratic future,\u201d as a spokesman for British Prime Minister David Cameron put it. So too President Obama, who spoke of the \u201cuniversal\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Bruce S. Thornton&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Bruce S. Thornton","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/our-contributors\/bruce-s-thornton\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":5199,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/multiculturalism-and-its-discontents\/","url_meta":{"origin":1232,"position":5},"title":"Multiculturalism and Its Discontents","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 10, 2005","format":false,"excerpt":"by Bruce S. Thornton The New Individualist This copyrighted article first appeared in the July 2005 issue of\u00a0The New Individualist\u00a0[http:\/\/www.objectivistcenter.org\/navigator\/index.asp], and is reprinted by permission. England's multicultural delusions were literally exploded this past summer when British citizens, children of Islamic immigrants, turned out to be the murderers whose bombs killed\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Bruce S. Thornton&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Bruce S. 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