{"id":12264,"date":"2020-03-26T10:00:49","date_gmt":"2020-03-26T17:00:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/?p=12264"},"modified":"2020-03-23T11:53:05","modified_gmt":"2020-03-23T18:53:05","slug":"the-virus-is-not-invincible-but-its-exposing-whos-irreplaceable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-virus-is-not-invincible-but-its-exposing-whos-irreplaceable\/","title":{"rendered":"The Virus is Not Invincible, But It\u2019s Exposing Who\u2019s Irreplaceable"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ American Greatness<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In all the gloom and doom, and media-driven nihilism, there is actually an array of good news. As many predicted, as testing spreads, and we get a better idea of the actual number and nature of cases, the death rate from coronavirus slowly but also seems to steadily decline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Early estimates from the World Health Organization and the modeling of pessimists of a constant 4 percent death rate for those infected with the virus are for now proving exaggerated for the United States. More likely, as testing spreads, our fatality rates could descend to near 1 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is some evidence from Germany and to a lesser extent South Korea, that it may be possible to see the fatality rate dip below 1 percent. And with the breathing space from the lockdown, better hygiene (the degree of constant and near-obsessive cleaning at businesses that are still open is quite amazing), more knowledge and data, better medical protocols, the use of some efficacious drugs, warmer weather, and experience with the disease will, in perfect-storm fashion, begin to mitigate the effects of the virus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Should we get the lethality rate down to German levels (currently two to three in 1,000), then we can cautiously assume that those who predicted that the coronavirus could eventually be contextualized as a bad, H1N1-like flu will no longer be demonized as nuts, and life can resume with reasonable precautions and focused quarantines and isolation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/amgreatness.com\/2020\/03\/22\/the-virus-is-not-invincible-but-its-exposing-whos-irreplaceable\/\">Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ American Greatness In all the gloom and doom, and media-driven nihilism, there is actually an array of good news. As many predicted, as testing spreads, and we get a better idea of the actual number and nature of cases, the death rate from coronavirus slowly but also seems to steadily decline. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-3bO","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12279,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/coronavirus-the-california-herd\/","url_meta":{"origin":12264,"position":0},"title":"Coronavirus: The California Herd","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 2, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review The\u00a0bluest state\u2019s public officials have been warning for weeks that California will be overwhelmed, given federal-government unpreparedness and the purported inefficacy of the local, state, and federal governments. California governor Gavin Newsom has assured his state that over half of the population \u2014 or,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12313,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/yes-california-remains-mysterious-despite-the-weaponization-of-the-debate\/","url_meta":{"origin":12264,"position":1},"title":"Yes, California Remains Mysterious \u2014 Despite the Weaponization of the Debate","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 17, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review California\u00a0is touchy, and yet still remains confused, about incomplete data showing that the 40-million-person state, as of Sunday, April 12, reportedly had 23,777 cases of residents who have tested posted for the COVID-19 illness. The number of infected by the 12th includes 674 deaths,\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2233,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/thoughts-on-the-hysteria-about-afghanistan\/","url_meta":{"origin":12264,"position":2},"title":"Thoughts on the Hysteria About Afghanistan","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 9, 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson NRO's\u00a0The Corner Afghanistan is a messy war, but so far it has been conducted with a minimum loss of American life while achieving some important goals. We can argue about current strategies, fault what\u2019s been done in the past, deplore the length of the war, lament\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;October 2009&quot;","block_context":{"text":"October 2009","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/archives\/2009\/october-2009\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12291,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/america-is-still-a-global-leader\/","url_meta":{"origin":12264,"position":3},"title":"America Is Still a Global Leader","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 4, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review A current global myth alleges that America under the Trump administration is not leading the world fight against the coronavirus in its accustomed role as the post-war global leader. Yet the U.S. was the first major nation to issue a travel ban on flights\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12329,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/its-a-free-country-brother\/","url_meta":{"origin":12264,"position":4},"title":"\u2018It\u2019s a Free Country, Brother\u2019","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 24, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review In\u00a0this current crisis, the longest if not the first complete shutdown in U.S. history, the freedoms of American democracy are being tested in ways we scarcely ever imagined. Out of nowhere little Napoleonic governors arise to enact decrees prohibiting gardening or strolling on an\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":12320,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/an-informed-public-will-always-decide-on-the-virus\/","url_meta":{"origin":12264,"position":5},"title":"An Informed Public Will Always Decide on the Virus","author":"victorhanson","date":"April 23, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review A number of NRO writers have offered today some valuable cautionary data about antibody testing and herd immunity. Certainly, one cannot yet anticipate what ongoing and planned antibody testing in particular areas might reveal. Perhaps based on anecdotal new reports and a few samplings\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12264"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12264"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12264\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12269,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12264\/revisions\/12269"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12264"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12264"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12264"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}