{"id":12117,"date":"2020-01-08T10:00:21","date_gmt":"2020-01-08T18:00:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/?p=12117"},"modified":"2020-01-07T08:12:52","modified_gmt":"2020-01-07T16:12:52","slug":"why-trump-will-win-again-in-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/why-trump-will-win-again-in-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Trump will win again in 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Spectator USA<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My reasons for thinking Trump was going to be elected in 2016 were entirely unscientific. One of my Hoover Institution colleagues recently reminded me of my data-free, amateurish and bothersome predictions. I teach for three weeks at Hillsdale College every September during my vacation from the Hoover Institution. Each morning I try to ride a bike 15-18 miles out into the Michigan countryside. I have been doing that since 2004. Over the previous 12 years even this conservative rural Michigan county had showed no real excitement over George W. Bush, John McCain or Mitt Romney. But in 2016, Trump signs \u2014 both professionally made and hand-painted \u2014 had sprouted everywhere, on barns, lawns and sheds. Whatever Trumpism was, lots of southern Michiganders seemed ready for it. Six weeks ago, I rode the identical rural Michigan routes. Sometimes I stopped and talked to a few people. The script was almost predictable. After the requisite throat-clearing \u2014 \u2018Trump should cut back on the tweeting,\u2019 they said \u2014 they were even more eager to vote for him this time than last.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In my hometown near my central California farm, I spent autumn 2016 talking to mostly Mexican American friends with whom I went to grammar or high school. I had presumed then that they must hate Trump. Remember the speech in 2015 announcing he was going to stand, when he bashed illegal immigration, or his snide quip about the \u2018Mexican judge\u2019 in the Trump University lawsuit, or his expulsion of an interrupting Univision anchor, Jorge Ramos, from one of his campaign press conferences? But I heard no such thing. Most said they \u2018liked\u2019 Trump\u2019s style, whether or not they were voting for him. They were tired of gangs in their neighborhoods and of swamped government services \u2014 especially the nearby Department of Motor Vehicles \u2014 becoming almost dysfunctional. I remember thinking that Trump of all people might get a third of the Latino vote: of no importance in blue California, but maybe transformative in Midwest swing states?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/spectator.us\/trump-win-again-2020-victor-davis-hanson\/\">Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Spectator USA My reasons for thinking Trump was going to be elected in 2016 were entirely unscientific. One of my Hoover Institution colleagues recently reminded me of my data-free, amateurish and bothersome predictions. I teach for three weeks at Hillsdale College every September during my vacation from the Hoover Institution. Each [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-39r","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":11699,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/historian-makes-the-case-for-trump-in-new-book\/","url_meta":{"origin":12117,"position":0},"title":"Historian makes &#8216;The Case for Trump&#8217; in new book","author":"victorhanson","date":"March 6, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Fox News Hoover Institution senior fellow and author Victor Davis Hanson breaks down how President Trump won in 2016 and continues to win against the media and D.C. establishment. Watch the full interview on Fox here.","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11838,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/victor-davis-hanson-us-china-confrontation-will-define-global-order\/","url_meta":{"origin":12117,"position":1},"title":"Victor Davis Hanson: US-China Confrontation Will Define Global Order","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 21, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"The United States is at a crossroads with an increasingly aggressive China, which could define America\u2019s security and the international order for decades to come, Hoover scholar\u00a0Victor Davis Hanson\u00a0says.Hanson, the Martin and Illie Anderson Senior Fellow at the\u00a0Hoover Institution, studies military history and the classics. Last year, Hanson won the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;China&quot;","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/the-world\/china\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11549,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/victor-davis-hanson-on-contemporary-american-society\/","url_meta":{"origin":12117,"position":2},"title":"Victor Davis Hanson On Contemporary American Society","author":"victorhanson","date":"December 3, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Hoover Institution Traditional values, whether manifested in public policy or contemporary culture, are besieged in today\u2019s America but can still be found in the right places, says\u00a0Victor Davis Hanson. Hanson is the Martin and Illie Anderson Senior Fellow at the\u00a0Hoover Institution. His focus is on classics\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Donald Trump&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Donald Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/donald-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11272,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/why-europe-gets-no-respect\/","url_meta":{"origin":12117,"position":3},"title":"Why Europe Gets No Respect","author":"victorhanson","date":"July 13, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Hoover Institution After the recent G-7 meeting, some European nations such as France and Germany expressed anger that their views were given short shrift by Donald Trump\u2014displaying fits of pique memorialized in a now infamous photo of standing G-7 leaders who were leaning into a surrounded\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Donald Trump&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Donald Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/donald-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11466,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/yes-be-very-worried-over-growing-polarization\/","url_meta":{"origin":12117,"position":4},"title":"Yes, Be Very Worried Over Growing Polarization","author":"victorhanson","date":"October 22, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Hoover Institution My Hoover Institution colleague Morris Fiorina has\u00a0recently written\u00a0that I am unduly pessimistic in my appraisals of a currently divided America. He cited two essays I wrote, one a Tribune Media Services syndicated column, the other a\u00a0National Reviewonline essay. Both were published before the recent\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Donald Trump&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Donald Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/donald-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11721,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/when-cabin-boys-attack\/","url_meta":{"origin":12117,"position":5},"title":"When Cabin Boys Attack","author":"victorhanson","date":"March 17, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Julie Kelly \/\/ American Greatness Victor Davis Hanson is about as accomplished and\u00a0credentialed\u00a0a commentator you can find. He\u2019s an author, a military historian, a senior fellow at Stanford University\u2019s Hoover Institution, and a farmer in California. President George W. Bush awarded Hanson the National Humanities Award in 2007. By all\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;The Case for Trump&quot;","block_context":{"text":"The Case for Trump","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/the-case-for-trump\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12117"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12117"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12117\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12124,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12117\/revisions\/12124"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12117"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12117"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12117"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}