{"id":11953,"date":"2019-08-22T15:15:24","date_gmt":"2019-08-22T22:15:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/?p=11953"},"modified":"2019-08-22T15:15:33","modified_gmt":"2019-08-22T22:15:33","slug":"victor-davis-hanson-what-could-sink-trumps-chances-in-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/victor-davis-hanson-what-could-sink-trumps-chances-in-2020\/","title":{"rendered":"Victor Davis Hanson: What could sink Trump\u2019s chances in 2020?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Fox News<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What factors usually reelect or throw out&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/person\/donald-trump\">incumbent<\/a>&nbsp;presidents?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/us\/economy\">economy<\/a>&nbsp;counts most.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recessions, or at least chronic economic pessimism, sink incumbents.&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/category\/politics\/executive\/white-house\">Presidents<\/a>&nbsp;Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were tagged with sluggish growth, high unemployment and a sense of perceived stagnation \u2014 and were easily defeated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The 2008 financial crisis likely ended any chance for John McCain to continue eight years of Republican rule. Barack Obama campaigned on the message that incumbent George W. Bush was to blame for the meltdown and that McCain, his potential Republican successor, would be even worse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A once-unpopular incumbent Ronald Reagan fought recession for three years. Yet he soared to a landslide victory in 1984 only after the gross domestic product suddenly took off at an annualized clip of over 7 percent prior to the election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/opinion\/victor-davis-hanson-what-could-sink-trumps-chances-in-2020\">Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Fox News What factors usually reelect or throw out&nbsp;incumbent&nbsp;presidents? The&nbsp;economy&nbsp;counts most. Recessions, or at least chronic economic pessimism, sink incumbents.&nbsp;Presidents&nbsp;Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush were tagged with sluggish growth, high unemployment and a sense of perceived stagnation \u2014 and were easily defeated. The 2008 financial crisis likely ended any chance [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-36N","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":12218,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/trumps-chances-for-reelection-are-looking-better-and-better\/","url_meta":{"origin":11953,"position":0},"title":"Trump\u2019s Chances for Reelection Are Looking Better and Better","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 27, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review Donald Trump\u00a0has at least five strong historical arguments for his reelection. One, he is an incumbent. Incumbent presidents have won 14 of 19 reelection bids since 1900. The few who lost did not enjoy positive approval ratings. In a Gallup poll from earlier this\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":11191,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-miraculous-image-rehabilitation-of-former-republican-presidents\/","url_meta":{"origin":11953,"position":1},"title":"The Miraculous Image Rehabilitation of Former Republican Presidents","author":"victorhanson","date":"May 17, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review It\u2019s an evergreen media strategy for disparaging the sitting GOP executive. When Ronald Reagan was elected president in 1980, many in the media considered him a dangerous extremist. Some reporters warned that Reagan courted nuclear war and would tank the economy. He certainly was\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Ronald Reagan&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Ronald Reagan","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/ronald-reagan\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10602,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/allegations-of-foreign-election-tampering-have-always-rung-hollow\/","url_meta":{"origin":11953,"position":2},"title":"Allegations of Foreign Election Tampering Have Always Rung Hollow","author":"victorhanson","date":"September 21, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Blaming foreign influence on an election loss has become a habitual practice for unsuccessful presidential candidates, but such allegations have never rung true. On her current book tour, Hillary Clinton is still blaming the Russians (among others) for her unexpected defeat in last year\u2019s\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;George W. Bush&quot;","block_context":{"text":"George W. Bush","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/george-w-bush\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":117,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-powell-tragedy\/","url_meta":{"origin":11953,"position":3},"title":"The Powell Tragedy","author":"victorhanson","date":"January 16, 2013","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson NRO's\u00a0The Corner Like many, I was confused not by General Colin Powell\u2019s endorsements of Barack Obama, but rather his recent remarks alleging Republican extremism and racism. His barrage was internally inconsistent and ultimately made little sense at all. Such unfounded charges are out of character with\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Political Culture&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Political Culture","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/american-culture\/political-culture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":8255,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/finding-the-great-republican-hope\/","url_meta":{"origin":11953,"position":4},"title":"Finding the Great Republican Hope","author":"victorhanson","date":"March 3, 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"The GOP can\u2019t win in 2016 by thinking inside the box. by Victor Davis Hanson\u00a0\/\/ National Review Online The usual criteria for political success \u2014 plenty of New York and Washington IOUs, youthful vigor, good looks, glibness, access to lots of money \u2014 aren\u2019t sufficient any longer to galvanize the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;America's Future&quot;","block_context":{"text":"America's Future","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/americas-future\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"Photo via NRO","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/03\/pic_FB_030315_debate-500x500.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":726,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/romney-fights-back\/","url_meta":{"origin":11953,"position":5},"title":"Romney Fights Back","author":"victorhanson","date":"June 9, 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson National Review Online Mitt Romney was recently derided by the Obama campaign for his appearance with Donald Trump. Trump is supposed to be radioactive because of his stubborn insistence that the Obama birth certificate is inauthentic. Romney\u2019s supporters, however, ignored the complaint and pointed instead to\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;Election 2012&quot;","block_context":{"text":"Election 2012","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/obama-administration\/election-2012\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11953"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11953"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11953\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11954,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11953\/revisions\/11954"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11953"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11953"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11953"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}