{"id":1017,"date":"2010-12-22T22:46:42","date_gmt":"2010-12-22T22:46:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/victorhanson.com.108-166-28-151.mdgnetworks.com\/wordpress\/?p=1017"},"modified":"2013-03-04T22:48:24","modified_gmt":"2013-03-04T22:48:24","slug":"paradoxes-of-the-present-age-profound-and-trivial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/paradoxes-of-the-present-age-profound-and-trivial\/","title":{"rendered":"Paradoxes of the Present Age, Profound and Trivial"},"content":{"rendered":"

by Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n

PJ Media<\/em><\/p>\n

Sometimes reality seems at odds with perceived wisdom. Yet these disconnects rarely seem to enter public discussion. Here are a few examples, big and small.<\/p>\n

The Axis of Evil and Unending Wars<\/strong><\/p>\n

The\u00a0Korean mess<\/a>\u00a0[1] reminds us again of who was and who was not in the ill-famed \u201caxis of evil\u201d as articulated in January 2002. Germany, Japan, and Vietnam were not, all once bitter foes of the United States. The former two were defeated and their hostility ended in reformed, postwar democratic governments. The latter won a political victory over the United States, and the question whether there would be a South Vietnam analogous to an independent South Korea was answered in the negative.<\/p>\n

By the same token, the triad of evil all had ongoing but unresolved wars with the United States. Saddam Hussein at the time had lost the Gulf War but survived, and that fact in turn had led to an unending no-fly zone war. (Note that today Iraq would not be in the axis, given that Saddam is no more). An armistice in 1953 did not settle the question of whether an aggressive communist North Korea would leave South Korea alone. And our war that hadde facto<\/em>\u00a0started with Iran in 1979, and which waxed and waned over the next thirty years through terrorist surrogates and American counter-measures, continues today.<\/p>\n

Perhaps peace ensues when clear-cut defeat or victory decides a war. In contrast, an ongoing, on\/off conflict is the legacy of truces and temporary armistices, as we pass the unresolved war on to our children.<\/p>\n

The present strategy in Korea? Who knows? But I think a prosperous South Korea is between the rock of hoping for the relatively nonviolent implosion of the failed state of North Korea in some sort of East German fashion, and the hard place of a communist thugocracy in the bunker lashing out in \u201cwe will take you down with us\u201d fashion.<\/p>\n

Note well that in the supposed age of counter-insurgency, we still have assets like carrier battle groups, armored divisions, bombers, and high-tech fighters. War is cyclical, and while some thought the U.S. would only fight in messy, dirty Vietnam-like wars such as Iraq and Afghanistan, we should remember that even that scenario was not always the recent norm \u2014 remember Grenada, Panama, Gulf War I, and the Balkans.<\/p>\n

Military history reminds us that wars of all sorts \u2014 insurgencies, terrorism, conventional land invasions, high-tech aerial combat, missile exchanges \u2014 can in theory break out anytime. It was always the great strength of the postwar US army, nursed on the experience of World War II from the jungles of Guadalcanal to the B-17 missions over Germany, that it was multifaceted and ready for any challenge.<\/p>\n

Some ask: \u201cWhy do we have any F-22s given the realities of an Afghanistan?\u201d Others would counter: \u201cWhy do we not have more given the realities of an even more important Korean peninsula?\u201d<\/p>\n

Fewer or More Terrorist Plots?<\/strong><\/p>\n

The latest\u00a0foiled terrorist attempt in Portland<\/a>\u00a0[2] comes on the heels of the Times Square bombing plot, the New York subway plot, the unsuccessful Mutallab Christmas bombing, the Fort Hood shootings, and the increasing high alerts in Europe and the US of new terrorist attempts to come.<\/p>\n

All that raises questions about why radical Islamic terrorists are either increasing their efforts to kill Westerners, or at least not abating them \u2014 despite the reset\/outreach efforts of the new administration. Have these wannabe killers forgotten the widely reported\u00a0Al-Arabiya<\/em>\u00a0interview, the Cairo speech, the bowing to the Saudi royal family, the promised civilian trial of KSM and closing of Guantanamo, the declarations from the head of NASA, and the euphemisms of \u201cman-caused disasters\u201d and \u201coverseas contingency operations\u201d? Did not the radical Islamists understand the message of outreach of the new American administration, the end of the dark days of \u201csmoke \u2018em out\u201d and \u201cdead or alive,\u201d and the\u00a0de facto<\/em>\u00a0confession that our policies were unnecessarily provocative during the eight years between 2001 to 2009? Thereby will they not at least mitigate their efforts to murder Americans, given our newfound decision to seek compromise rather than confrontation? And if not, why not? Why treat our magnanimity with contempt?<\/p>\n

Corruption and Crimes \u2014 or Misunderstanding?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Rep. Charles Rangel (D-NY) made the argument that none of his transgressions were criminal in nature or\u00a0ipsis factis<\/em>\u00a0proof of corruption. If so, can less illustrious Americans emulate his behavior with impunity? Can they chose not to report thousands of dollars in income without worries of IRS audit or worse, or use as an office four rent-controlled apartments, or abuse the postal system, or use public positions and employment to raise money for particular private projects? Surely if we, mere citizens, were to try all that, we would either be fired or in jail, or both. I know allusion to the Magna Carta and involvement in the Civil Rights movement would fall on the deaf ears of a federal prosecutor.<\/p>\n

The Age of Want?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Are the usual Black Friday stories of near mayhem and stampedes into discount stores to buy elective electronic goods compatible with Great Depression narratives of endemic poverty and near starvation? What exactly is happening in matter of disposable income \u2014 are vast numbers of Americans in need of food to survive one more day or in need of more DVD players and flat-screen TVs, or both or neither?<\/p>\n

Drug Cartels Made Us Do It?<\/strong><\/p>\n

A frequent argument is that the endemic American desire to snort cocaine or smoke marijuana or inject heroin \u2014 our collective urge for illicit drugs \u2014 has ruined Mexico, turning it into a failed state that exports its poor to us, even as cash-rich, exporting cartels try to take over the country.<\/p>\n

I agree that any American who uses illegal drugs must accept the moral consequences that his purchases fuel killing and mayhem in Mexico. But that said, Mexico and its society bear the burden for the Narco-society that threatens to destroy the state. After all, Canada shares a longer border with the US than does Mexico. In this age of easy transport, drugs grown in the tropics can easily ship to the US via Canada. Canada could have a thriving meth or heroin export industry with zillionaire gangs running entire provinces.<\/p>\n

So something is different in Mexico, and that something for a variety of reasons is not articulated \u2014 e.g., the lack of a truly consensual government, an independent judiciary, a middle class, protections of private property, freedom of expression, a free market, and a transparent tax system conspires to turn Mexico into a drug exporter to its neighbor in a way Canada is not.<\/p>\n

More or Less Money<\/strong><\/p>\n

Why did the Bureau of Indian Affairs budget increase last year nearly 7% to $2.7 billion, when Native American gaming is now almost a $30 billion industry? Did the vast new wealth of the last two to three decades have no effect whatsoever on the Native American community, or rather did it decrease the standard of living, necessitating added federal revenue? Had there not been such a multibillion-dollar private industry on Indian lands would the federal Indian Affairs budget have been smaller or larger?<\/p>\n

Illegal Immigration \u2014 Again<\/strong><\/p>\n

My puzzlement with Hispanic community elites\u2019 constant demand for \u201ccomprehensive immigration reform\u201d (a.k.a., some sort of blanket amnesty) is that I fear the urge is in part tribal. Let me explain. If there were 5 million Greeks in California fleeing the Athenian meltdown, all residing illegally here in California, would the Hispanic community object, and, if so, on what particular grounds (e.g., legality, practicality, fiscal reality, morality?)<\/p>\n

Ditto 7 million theoretical Sudanese illegal aliens, 4 million Koreans, or 3 million Italians. Or is the demand for amnesty based not so much on the theory of illegal immigrants as\u00a0de facto<\/em>\u00a0citizens, given their residency status, but more on ethnic solidarity? And would other ethnic groups in turn act as they do? I would hope that should 1 million Swedes decide to come into California\u00a0en masse<\/em>, overstay their visas, or have no visas, and then demand amnesty, I would demand that they would comply with the law and face the consequences of their violations. And I think, in fact, I would write just that. The fact that a foreigner happens to look more like myself, or embody traditions which I grew up with, or invoke a noble past immigrant tradition, I confess cuts no ice, none at all. As an American, I feel far more affinity with a fellow Mexican-American citizen than with a citizen of Sweden. I hope it is so with others as well, and trust that in time it is so.<\/p>\n

\n

\u00a92010 Victor Davis Hanson<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

by Victor Davis Hanson PJ Media Sometimes reality seems at odds with perceived wisdom. Yet these disconnects rarely seem to enter public discussion. Here are a few examples, big and small.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false,"jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[470],"tags":[],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p466Sb-gp","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":9096,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-tough-choices-of-overseas-intervention\/","url_meta":{"origin":1017,"position":0},"title":"The Tough Choices of Overseas Intervention","author":"victorhanson","date":"February 25, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ Tribune Media Services The United States has targeted a lot of rogues and their regimes in recent decades: Muammar Gadhafi, Saddam Hussein, Slobodan Milosevic, Mohamed Farrah Aidid, Manuel Noriega and the Taliban. As a general rule over the last 100 years, any time the U.S. has\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "International Relations"","block_context":{"text":"International Relations","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/geopolitics\/international-relations\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10830,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-war-of-wars-analyzed-to-the-third-decimal-place\/","url_meta":{"origin":1017,"position":1},"title":"The War of Wars Analyzed to the Third Decimal Place","author":"victorhanson","date":"December 16, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"Santa\u2019s Book Bag By Larry Thornberry \/\/ The American Spectator A magnificent contribution from Victor Davis Hanson. The Second World Wars: How the First Global Conflict Was Fought and Won By Victor Davis Hanson (Basic Books, 652 pages, $40) Yes, Virginia, after thousands of books, lectures, debates, veteran memoirs, and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "War"","block_context":{"text":"War","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/war\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":9400,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/when-a-war-went-worldwide-75-years-ago\/","url_meta":{"origin":1017,"position":2},"title":"When a War Went Worldwide 75 Years Ago","author":"victorhanson","date":"July 28, 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"The irrational aggressiveness of the Axis powers teaches us not to expect our enemies to be reasonable. \u00a0 By Victor Davis Hanson \/\/ National Review Online Seventy-five years ago, the world blew up in just six months. World War II ostensibly started two years earlier, when Germany invaded Poland. In\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "China"","block_context":{"text":"China","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/the-world\/china\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10724,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/the-year-that-changed-history\/","url_meta":{"origin":1017,"position":3},"title":"The Year That Changed History","author":"victorhanson","date":"November 9, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"by Victor Davis Hanson Defining Ideas Sometimes, just a few months can change the course of civilization. That\u2019s what happened in 1942 when a series of decisive events changed the trajectory of World War II. Before that turning point, Germany seemed destined for victory. In 1939 and 1940, Hitler\u2019s army\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Military"","block_context":{"text":"Military","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/war\/military\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":10812,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/uncommon-knowledge-part-2-the-second-world-wars-with-victor-davis-hanson\/","url_meta":{"origin":1017,"position":4},"title":"Uncommon Knowledge Part 2: The Second World Wars with Victor Davis Hanson","author":"victorhanson","date":"December 12, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"This video was originally published by the Hoover Institution. Click here to learn more about this episode. https:\/\/youtu.be\/ux0nzEtUobM Could the Axis powers have won? What are the counterfactuals for World War II?\u00a0 Find out in part two of this episode as\u00a0Victor Davis Hanson joins Peter Robinson to discuss his latest\u2026","rel":"","context":"Similar post","block_context":{"text":"Similar post","link":""},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/img.youtube.com\/vi\/ux0nzEtUobM\/0.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":10852,"url":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/a-new-history-of-the-second-world-war\/","url_meta":{"origin":1017,"position":5},"title":"A New History of the Second World War","author":"victorhanson","date":"December 26, 2017","format":false,"excerpt":"The New Yorker Book Review By Joshua Rothman December 23, 2017 Photograph by FPG \/ Hulton Archive \/ Getty Victor Davis Hanson\u2019s \u201cThe Second World Wars\u201d is not a chronological retelling of the conflict but a high-altitude, statistics-saturated overview of the dynamics and constraints that shaped it. \u00a0In 1936, Charles\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Reviews"","block_context":{"text":"Reviews","link":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/ahref=\/index.php\/categories\/angry-reader\/categorylink\/a\/opinion\/reviews\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/media.newyorker.com\/photos\/5a3d8e810e399a1bd896c473\/master\/w_727,c_limit\/Rothman-A-Fascinating-New-History-of-the-Second-World-War.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1017"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1017"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1017\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1019,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1017\/revisions\/1019"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1017"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1017"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/victorhanson.com\/wordpress\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1017"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}