China Never Was A Superpower—And It Won’t Be One Anytime Soon
Please read a new essay by my colleague, Gordon G. Chang in Strategika.
“The world by 2049 will be defined by the realization of Chinese power,” write Bradley Thayer and John Friend, referring to the centenary of the founding of the People’s Republic. “China,” these American academics tell us, “will be the world’s greatest economic and political force.” Must Americans accept the inevitability of Chinese dominance of the international system?
China’s Tide Is High, But Is It at High Tide?
Please read a new essay by my colleague, Michael R. Auslin in Strategika.
If China’s explosive economic growth since the beginning of reform in 1979 is a unique success story, no less impressive has been the concomitant growth of its military and political power, as well as its global influence. Few could have predicted that within one generation of Richard Nixon’s visit to Beijing in 1972, China would vie with the United States for the banner of global leadership. By any measure, China’s efforts to surpass American predominance in the world must be taken seriously, and in some cases, may even seem to have succeeded.
From Trade War to Tech War to Cold War
Please read a new essay by my colleague, Niall Ferguson in Strategika.
If you had told me 30 years ago America would be in another Cold War with another communist superpower by 2019, I would not have believed you. If you had told me that, simultaneously, socialism would be the height of fashion with young Americans, I would have directed you to a psychiatrist. But here we are. Three decades ago Francis Fukuyama published his seminal essay “The End of History?”, hailing the victory of liberal capitalism over all its ideological competitors, but especially over communism. The essay he needs to write today is “The Upend of History?”
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As an authoritarian secular religion that is a masterpiece of Deductive Reasoning, China dislikes Inductive Reasoning used in the World of Words. With no Rule of Law, the law is whatever authority wants it to be. Industry grows. Next come people in authority to sit next to a flow of money or value so they can sup to meet their needs. Finally, there are the subcontractors who can make things amazingly cheaper. They have mastered the art to avoid punishment from misbehavior so they are successful in making Potemkin Products. The parasitism of power destroys economic efficiency and it never has any natural boundary. The US loves Inductive Reasoning as it enables us to run around in 747s and complain about the movies.